Catalysts and events · 2026-10-13

Everything the Opportunity Map and Intelligence Feed published for this date.

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2026-10-13Fitch warns war-related energy disruption and fiscal pressures are weakening MENA sovereign credit profilesISRAEL GOVERNMENT BONDS KSA 10Y QATAR SOVEREIGN BONDS TASI
2026-10-13IMF forecasts Qatar's economy will contract 15.6% in 2026 as Strait of Hormuz disruption persistsQATAR SOVEREIGN BONDS QATARENERGY LNG TTF NATURAL GAS
2026-10-13Bulgarian authorities rescue crew after drones attack Malta-flagged vessel near ByalaBDRY BULGARIA5Y ZIM-4.18%
2026-10-13Iran says it is reviewing a US response on reopening the Strait of Hormuz while indirect talks remain stalledBZ=F TLT USD/IRR USO+0.48%
2026-10-13US Central Command says US forces helped Gulf partners move more than 19 million barrels through the Strait of HormuzBZ=F GLD STNG-5.23%
2026-10-13Taiwan stocks fall more than 1,000 points as global investors sell AI and semiconductor sharesEWT TAIEX TSM-4.40%
2026-10-13Drones strike merchant vessels off Bulgaria and sink one shipBALTIC.F BRN00 NATO DEFENSE SPENDING
2026-10-13South Korea’s Kospi sinks more than 6% as chipmakers face renewed Chinese competition and AI valuation concernsEWY KOSPI SOXX-6.02%
2026-10-13South Korean shares plunge as chip competition and artificial-intelligence valuation concerns trigger a technology selloff005930.KS KOSPI SOXX-4.50%
2026-10-13IMF forecasts Iraq's economy will contract 16% in 2026 amid disrupted regional energy exportsBRENT CRUDE IRAQ SOVEREIGN BONDS
2026-10-13Iran-backed Hormuz attacks hit at least 16 vessels this month — USO crude risk premium repricesUSO+0.31%
2026-10-13Nvidia data-center revenue jumps 117% as Google Cloud grows 82% — NVDA AI accelerator re-rateNVDA-3.16%
2026-10-13United Airlines EPS estimates cut 19.9% despite 17.25% revenue growth — UAL margin compression repricesUAL-4.14%
2026-10-13S&P 500 CAPE reaches 41 after 21% annualized 4-year run — SPY downside convexity repricesSPY-1.08%
2026-10-13Microsoft Intelligent Cloud hits $39.3B with 32% growth — MSFT Azure AI monetization repricesMSFT-1.80%
2026-10-13Taiwan stocks fall more than 1,000 points as global investors sell AI and semiconductor sharesEWT TAIEX TSM-4.40%
2026-10-13Japan wholesale inflation slows less than expected as import costs keep Bank of Japan tightening expectations aliveJGB10 JPYUSD NKY
2026-10-13South Korean shares plunge as chip competition and artificial-intelligence valuation concerns trigger a technology selloff005930.KS KOSPI SOXX-4.50%
2026-10-13US Central Command says US forces helped Gulf partners move more than 19 million barrels through the Strait of HormuzBZ=F GLD STNG-5.23%
2026-10-13Bulgarian authorities rescue crew after drones attack Malta-flagged vessel near ByalaBDRY BULGARIA5Y ZIM-4.18%
2026-10-13Iran says it is reviewing a US response on reopening the Strait of Hormuz while indirect talks remain stalledBZ=F TLT USD/IRR USO+0.48%
2026-10-13Fitch warns disrupted energy exports and fiscal pressures are weakening MENA sovereign credit profilesKSA 10Y TASI
2026-10-13IMF forecasts Qatar's economy will contract 15.6% in 2026 as Strait of Hormuz disruption persistsQATAR SOVEREIGN BONDS QATARENERGY LNG TTF NATURAL GAS
2026-10-13IMF forecasts Iraq’s economy will contract 16% in 2026 as war disrupts regional energy and trade flowsBRENT CRUDE DME OMAN CRUDE IRAQ 2033 SOVEREIGN BOND
2026-10-13South Korea’s Kospi sinks more than 6% as chipmakers face renewed Chinese competition and AI valuation concernsEWY KOSPI SOXX-6.02%
2026-10-13Japan’s wholesale prices rise 6.8% from a year earlier in SeptemberJGB10 NIKKEI USDJPY
2026-10-13Drones strike merchant vessels off Bulgaria and sink one shipBALTIC.F BRN00 NATO DEFENSE SPENDING
2026-10-13Poland links Starlink station arson to Russian sabotage and detains four suspectsEURPLN ITA+0.12%
2026-10-13Iranian maritime strikes threatened Gulf product shipments after flows through the Strait of Hormuz recovered in early OctoberBZ=F HO=F NG=F
2026-10-13Tanker disruptions push Gulf freight costs to as much as 30% of crude pricesBDTI CL1! XLE ZIM-1.80%
2026-10-13Iranian maritime forces strike commercial shipping in and around the Strait of Hormuz as vessel attacks increaseBDRY BDTI BRENT CRUDE BZ=F-4.12%
2026-10-13Houthi forces attack a hospital in Taiz as Saudi-led forces report strikes against missile threatsBDRY BRENT SAF-4.12%
2026-10-13US Treasury sanctions 17 vessels linked to Iran's shadow fleet and petroleum tradeBDTI CL1! USO+0.31%
2026-10-13JMIC maintains a severe threat level as commercial transits through the Strait of Hormuz remain sharply reducedBDTI CL1! XAUUSD
2026-10-13Bulgaria reports drone attack on Malta-flagged vessel near its coast and summons Russia’s ambassadorBDRY EUR/RON WHEAT FUTURES-4.12%
2026-10-13IMF raises its 2026 global growth forecast to 3.1% while warning that debt, inflation and AI borrowing threaten bond marketsSPX VIX
2026-10-13India's September retail inflation rises to 5.54% as crude oil prices increase pressure on the RBIBRENT G-SEC 10Y INDIA INR NIFTY50-4.32%
2026-10-13Iranian attacks cut Strait of Hormuz tanker transits to the lowest level since July 23BDTI BZ=F USO+0.31%
2026-10-13Iranian parliament discloses a plan to regulate vessel movements and impose fees in the Strait of HormuzBDTI CL1! XLE+0.64%
2026-10-13Iran deputy foreign minister says Tehran is finalizing its response to US comments on a proposalXAUUSD
2026-10-13South Korea’s KOSPI tumbles 5.46% as Chinese memory competition triggers a semiconductor selloff000660.KS 005930.KS KOSPI SOXX-4.50%
2026-10-13IMF projects India's economy will grow 7% in 2026 and 2027 despite higher energy costsBRENT NIFTY50
2026-10-13South Korean chip shares drive KOSPI down 5.46% as investors retreat from AI and Chinese competition concerns005930.KS KOSPI KRWUSD
2026-10-13S&P 500 CAPE reaches 41 after 21% annualized 4-year run — SPY multiple-risk repricingSPY-1.08%
2026-10-13Nvidia data-center revenue jumps 117% as Google Cloud grows 82% — NVDA AI-capex earnings re-rateNVDA-3.16%
2026-10-13Microsoft Intelligent Cloud rises 32% to $39.3B revenue — MSFT Azure margin validationMSFT-1.80%
2026-10-13United Airlines EPS estimates cut 19.9% despite 17.25% revenue growth — UAL margin compressionUAL-4.14%
2026-10-13South Korea reports drought conditions in 97 regions as reservoir levels fall below normal005930.KS CORN KOSPI
2026-10-13South Korea’s KOSPI tumbles 5.46% as Chinese memory competition triggers a semiconductor selloff000660.KS 005930.KS KOSPI SOXX-4.50%
2026-10-13Iranian attacks drive Gulf tanker freight costs to as much as 30% of crude pricesBDTI BZ=F EURN

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