CN10Y catalysts

    Catalysts and events linked to CN10Y, newest first.

    CN10Y stock catalysts and risks

    Latest published review: 2026-10-20

    DevelopmentTransmission channelEvidenceCondition to watch
    PBOC keeps one-year and five-year loan prime rates unchanged at 3.00% and 3.50%
    2026-10-20 · Down
    		the absence of an LPR cut reduces immediate easing-driven demand for longer-duration government bondsThe one-year and five-year LPRs were unchanged for a 17th consecutive monthNot recorded
    China's National Bureau of Statistics reports third-quarter GDP growth accelerated to 4.5%
    2026-10-19 · Down
    		A reduced probability of near-term broad-based easing can pressure Chinese government-bond prices.Analysts said the GDP and retail-sales data reduce the urgency for immediate broad-based stimulus.Not recorded
    China's underlying inflation accelerates to 2.6% in August as September PMI stays in expansion
    2026-09-28 · Up
    		firmer underlying inflation can reduce immediate easing urgency and lift front-end yieldsunderlying CPI rose to 2.6% y/y in August from 2.3% in JulyNot recorded
    China's underlying inflation quickens and September factory activity stays in expansion
    2026-09-28 · Up
    		less easing urgency can push yields higher or keep them elevatedcore inflation firmed while business activity remained in expansionNot recorded
    Asian Development Bank raises developing Asia growth outlook and trims inflation forecast
    2026-09-25 · Up
    		lower regional inflation expectations can support local duration by easing imported price pressure assumptionsADB cut the regional inflation forecast to 4.2% for 2026Not recorded
    ADB trims Asia inflation outlook as it holds developing East Asia growth unchanged
    2026-09-23 · Down
    		higher regional inflation expectations can keep local bond yields elevated and prices under pressureADB projected developing Asia inflation at 4.2% in 2026Not recorded
    People's Bank of China keeps loan prime rates unchanged for September fixing
    2026-09-20 · Watch
    		long-end yields depend on whether traders see the unchanged fixing as less-dovish than hopedthe loan prime rate setting remained unchangedNot recorded
    China holds benchmark lending rates as policymakers keep easing on pause
    2026-09-20 · Up
    		policy pause can keep longer-end China yields from falling on renewed easing hopesReuters said the benchmark lending rates were left unchanged in line with expectationsNot recorded

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