CO1 catalysts
Catalysts and events linked to CO1, newest first.
CO1 stock catalysts and risks
Latest published review: 2026-10-20
| Development | Transmission channel | Evidence | Condition to watch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brent and WTI crude extend fourth straight session of gains as US–Iran standoff over Hormuz keeps supply fears elevated 2026-08-19 · Up | Ongoing US–Iran standoff, Hormuz attacks, and shipping diversions reinforce supply concerns and underpin Brent’s fourth straight daily gain. | Multiple commodity sources report Brent above $91, explicitly linking the rally to Hormuz uncertainty, vessel attacks and stalled talks. | Not recorded |
| Chinese shipping giants divert supertankers away from Hormuz and Bab al-Mandeb amid Middle East conflict and attacks 2026-08-19 · Up | Supertanker diversions around Hormuz and Bab al‑Mandeb add frictions and potential delays to Gulf export flows, supporting higher Brent prices. | CNBC and other outlets note oil edging up for a fourth straight day with Brent around $91.3 as Chinese tankers avoid Hormuz and Hormuz shipping faces projectile attacks. | Not recorded |
| Trump orders negotiators to halt conversations with Iran and declares there are no talks or conversations ongoing 2026-08-18 · Up | Ending talks and letting the MoU lapse increases the probability that the Hormuz conflict persists or worsens, sustaining higher Brent prices. | Oil market reports explicitly attribute Brent’s rise toward $91–92 to the US–Iran deadlock and lack of progress after almost six months of conflict and the MoU expiry. | Not recorded |
| UAE Defense Ministry accuses Iran of firing two ballistic missiles at its territorial waters aimed at maritime traffic 2026-08-18 · Up | Ballistic missiles assessed as aimed at maritime traffic in UAE waters increase tail‑risk of strikes on export infrastructure and tankers, supporting higher forward crude premia. | UAE officials said air defenses detected two Iranian ballistic missiles targeting maritime navigation, both falling into the sea; oil reports note Brent around $91–92 with reference to intensified hostilities and missile activity in the Gul | Not recorded |
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DateCardAvg 5d
- 2026-08-19Iran’s armed forces chief Ali Abdollahi warns Gulf states that assisting US military will be treated as participation with US forcesCO1 QATAR
- 2026-08-19Brent and WTI crude extend fourth straight session of gains as US–Iran standoff over Hormuz keeps supply fears elevatedCO1 TIP XLE-0.91%
- 2026-08-19Chinese shipping giants divert supertankers away from Hormuz and Bab al-Mandeb amid Middle East conflict and attacks2603.TW CL1 CO1
- 2026-08-19Brent and WTI crude extend fourth straight session of gains as US–Iran standoff over Hormuz keeps supply fears elevatedCO1 TIP XLE-0.91%
- 2026-08-18UAE Defense Ministry accuses Iran of firing two ballistic missiles at its territorial waters aimed at maritime trafficADNOCDIST CO1 UAEGB10Y
- 2026-08-18Trump orders negotiators to halt conversations with Iran and declares there are no talks or conversations ongoingCO1 DXY TY1
- 2026-08-18Trump orders negotiators to halt conversations with Iran and declares there are no talks or conversations ongoingCO1 DXY TY1
- 2026-08-18UAE Defense Ministry accuses Iran of firing two ballistic missiles at its territorial waters aimed at maritime trafficADNOCDIST CO1 UAEGB10Y
- 2026-08-09Houthi forces resume missile and drone attacks on Mokha portBDRY CO1+3.83%
- 2026-08-03UKMTO reports armed attack on cargo vessel off Yemen’s Red Sea coastCO1
- 2026-08-03Multiple tankers transit Strait of Hormuz via Oman coast amid heightened security fearsCO1 DMEOQ TANKER_INDEX
- 2026-08-03UKMTO reports armed attack on cargo vessel off Yemen’s Red Sea coastBALTRI CO1
- 2026-08-02US Central Command launches wave of strikes on Iranian targets after renewed attacks on shipping in Strait of HormuzCL1 CO1 USD/SAR
- 2026-08-02US Central Command launches wave of strikes on Iranian targets after renewed attacks on shipping in Strait of HormuzCL1 CO1 USD/SAR
- 2026-08-01Saudi government launches mission to build international alliance to guard Red Sea shipping from Houthi attacksCO1 SUEZMAX
- 2026-07-30Russia launches large overnight missile and drone barrage across Ukraine, killing at least → Bullish CO1CO1
- 2026-07-30Russia launches large overnight missile and drone barrage across Ukraine, killing at least eightCO1 EURUAH
- 2026-07-30Russia launches large overnight missile and drone barrage across Ukraine, killing at least eightCO1 EURUAH UKRAIN 33
- 2026-07-29Ukrainian drones set two Russian oil tankers ablaze in the Sea of Azov amid ongoing strikes on Russian energy infrastructureCO1
- 2026-07-29Ukrainian drones set two Russian oil tankers ablaze in the Sea of Azov amid ongoing strikes on Russian energy infrastructureCO1 ROSN.MM
- 2026-07-28Ukrainian drones set two Russian oil tankers ablaze in the Sea of Azov amid ongoing strikes on Russian energy infrastructureCO1 ROSN.MM
- 2026-07-28Ukrainian drones ignite two Russian oil tankers in Sea of Azov amid wider strikes on Russian energy infrastructureCO1
- 2026-07-28US rescinds Iranian oil export sanctions waivers following large-scale strikes on IRGC assetsCO1 IRAN_CRUDE_EXPORTS
- 2026-07-28Oman agrees with France and UK on new mechanism to ensure safe navigation through Strait of Hormuz and Gulf of OmanBDI CO1 OMAN_CRUDE
- 2026-07-28Seven OPEC+ members agree to raise August oil production quotas by 188,000 bpd as Hormuz exports gradually resumeCL CO1 OPEC_BASKET-0.22%
- 2026-07-28Strait of Hormuz reopens to commercial shipping after July conflict-related closureCL CO1 DUBAI_OIL-0.22%
- 2026-07-28IRGC reports killing five members of Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan in western Iran clashesCO1 MENA_CDS_INDEX
- 2026-07-27Ukraine strikes Iran-linked cargo vessel in the Caspian Sea used by RussiaCO1 RSOVCDS USDTRY
- 2026-07-21Strait of Hormuz attacks and Red Sea embargo threats tighten global crude flowsCL1 CO1 XLE-1.59%
- 2026-07-21Caspian Pipeline Consortium halts crude loadings again after July 20 tanker attackCO1 TCE URALS
- 2026-07-21Strait of Hormuz attacks and Red Sea embargo threats tighten global crude flowsCL1 CO1 XLE-1.59%
- 2026-07-21Houthi maritime embargo on Saudi Arabia threatens Red Sea energy and trade flowsBDI CL1 CO1
- 2026-07-21Crude oil trades at one‑month highs amid Middle East tension and supply risksCL1 CO1 US10YBE
- 2026-07-20Global oil price spike on Middle East conflict boosts Nigeria’s fiscal and FX outlookCO1 USDNGN
- 2026-07-20Brent crude surge above $90 raises inflation and current account risks for South AfricaCO1 SA10Y ZARUSD
- 2026-07-20Global oil price spike on Middle East conflict boosts Nigeria’s fiscal and FX outlookCO1 NGERUN2031 USDNGN
- 2026-07-19Dangote Petroleum Refinery raises $2.5 billion via private placement to strengthen financing structureBONM10Y CO1 NGN NGSEINDX
- 2026-07-19Crude oil price surge and synchronized rise in global sovereign yields raise concerns over renewed inflation and tighter policyCO1 GC GER10Y
- 2026-07-14U.S. reinstates naval blockade of Iran and launches third consecutive night of strikesBRENT CRUDE FUTURES CL1 CO1 USDIRR
- 2026-07-13OPEC meeting on July 13 keeps global crude supply policy in focus for North American energy marketsCL CO1 SPTEN USDCAD-1.37%
- 2026-07-13Russian missile and drone strikes hit Odesa port infrastructure, disrupting Black Sea grain exportsCO1 UKRAIN 2032 ZW
- 2026-07-13Overnight U.S. bombing of Iranian targets raises prospect of expanded sanctions and secondary enforcementCO1 DXY URALS_CRUDE
- 2026-07-13Iran claims closure of Strait of Hormuz following overnight U.S. bombingCL1 CO1 DUBAI_CRUDE TY1
- 2026-07-10Ongoing Ukraine–Russia hostilities keep risk premium in Black Sea energy and metals export corridorsBDIY CO1 RSX
- 2026-07-10Russian missile and drone strikes hit Odesa port infrastructure, raising Black Sea shipping and grain export risksCO1 ZC ZW
- 2026-07-09Czech fuel markets feel impact of Russian diesel export halt and regional war‑driven supply squeezeCO1 CZ10Y EURCZK ICE_GASOIL_FUTURES
- 2026-07-09Ukrainian drone and missile strikes on Russian refineries spur Kremlin diesel export banCO1 EURUSD ICE_GASOIL_FUTURES NYH_ULSD_FUTURES
- 2026-07-09Russia bans diesel exports after Ukraine strikes, tightening global distillate marketsCO1 DE10Y EUROSTOXX_BANKS ICE_GASOIL_FUTURES
- 2026-07-09Romanian energy sector reprices on tighter regional diesel supply after Russian export banCO1 EURRON ICE_GASOIL_FUTURES RO10Y
- 2026-07-09Greek shipping and refinery stocks move on global diesel spike and Hormuz disruption riskATG CO1 ICE_GASOIL_FUTURES MOH.AT
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