MXN catalysts
Catalysts and events linked to MXN, newest first.
MXN stock catalysts and risks
Latest published review: 2026-10-20
| Development | Transmission channel | Evidence | Condition to watch |
|---|---|---|---|
| IMF says Mexico needs more effort to put debt on a declining path 2026-10-02 · Down | a weaker fiscal outlook can reduce support for the currency if debt concerns rise | IMF said greater efforts are needed to put debt on a declining trajectory | Not recorded |
| U.S. and Mexico delay discussions on extending USMCA review talks 2026-09-27 · Down | weaker trade certainty can reduce demand for the peso | the U.S. and Mexico delayed talks aimed at extending USMCA review discussions | Not recorded |
| Banxico leaves benchmark rate at 6.5% and says it need not track the Fed mechanically 2026-09-25 · Down | unchanged rates and softer relative-rate guidance reduce carry support | USD/MXN traded at 17.75, its highest since late April, after the hold | Not recorded |
| South Korea and Mexico conclude investment protection overhaul in Mexico City 2026-09-24 · Up | fresh bilateral investment commitments can support Mexico-related capital inflows and trade sentiment | the two countries completed an investment protection agreement overhaul | Not recorded |
| Mexico's finance ministry presents 2027 economic package with growth at 1.5% to 2.1% 2026-09-10 · Up | the currency firmed after the package was delivered and markets judged the outlook manageable | USD/MXN fell 0.12% to 16.896 pesos per dollar after the 2027 package was delivered | Not recorded |
| Mexico export outlook comes under pressure as US-Canada tariff war widens in North America 2026-09-09 · Watch | regional trade friction can affect sentiment toward the peso, but the evidence does not establish a clear immediate sign | the US and Canada escalated tariffs against each other in North America | Not recorded |
| Mexico inflation accelerates in August as Banxico keeps rates unchanged 2026-09-09 · Up | higher inflation can delay easing and preserve carry support for the peso | annual inflation accelerated in August and Banxico is expected to hold rates steady | Not recorded |
| Mexico's inflation accelerated in August while core prices eased only gradually 2026-09-09 · Up | higher inflation reduces room for near-term rate cuts and supports carry | official data showed headline inflation accelerated in August | Not recorded |
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DateCardAvg 5d
- 2026-10-02IMF says Mexico needs more effort to put debt on a declining pathMBONOS MEXICO SOVEREIGN CDS MXN
- 2026-10-02IMF says Mexico needs more effort to put debt on a declining pathMBONOS MEXICO SOVEREIGN CDS MXN
- 2026-09-27U.S. and Mexico delay discussions on extending USMCA review talksMEXBOL MXN USDMXN
- 2026-09-25Banxico leaves benchmark rate at 6.5% and says it need not track the Fed mechanicallyMEXBOL MXN USD/MXN
- 2026-09-25Banxico leaves benchmark rate at 6.5% and says it need not track the Fed mechanicallyMEXBOL MXN USD/MXN
- 2026-09-24South Korea and Mexico conclude investment protection overhaul in Mexico City000270.KS 373220.KS MXN
- 2026-09-10Mexico's finance ministry presents 2027 economic package with growth at 1.5% to 2.1%M BONOS MEXBOL MXN
- 2026-09-10Mexico's finance ministry presents 2027 economic package with growth at 1.5% to 2.1%M BONOS MEXBOL MXN
- 2026-09-09Mexico's inflation accelerated in August while core prices eased only graduallyM20 MXN
- 2026-09-09Mexico's inflation accelerated in August while core prices eased only graduallyM20 MXN
- 2026-09-09Mexico export outlook comes under pressure as US-Canada tariff war widens in North AmericaEWW MXN-4.72%
- 2026-09-09Mexico inflation accelerates in August as Banxico keeps rates unchangedMEXBOL MGSW10 MXN
- 2026-09-09Mexico inflation accelerates in August as Banxico keeps rates unchangedMEXBOL MGSW10 MXN
- 2026-09-08Mexico's finance ministry submits a budget draft with a narrower 2027 deficit targetMBONOS MXN PEMEX
- 2026-09-08Mexico's finance ministry submits a budget draft with a narrower 2027 deficit targetMBONOS MXN PEMEX
- 2026-09-02Banxico Deputy Governor Heath says Mexico should avoid another near-term rate cutMBONOS MEXBOL MXN
- 2026-08-26Mexico's central bank raises 2026 growth forecast and pushes back inflation convergenceMEXBOL MXN
- 2026-08-25U.S. tariff escalation on Canada raises pressure on North American supply chains and Mexico-linked manufacturersEWW KMX MXN-3.91%
- 2026-08-24Mexico's economy posts strongest quarterly expansion since early 2022 as inflation acceleratesMBONO MXN
- 2026-08-24IFC and BBVA close first significant risk transfer deal to expand SME lending in MexicoBBVA MXN XLF-0.88%
- 2026-08-24Mexico's economy posts strongest quarterly expansion since early 2022 as inflation acceleratesMBONO MXN
- 2026-08-22United States and Canada abandon last-ditch trade talks as sectoral tariff dispute widensGM MXN TRP-1.89%
- 2026-08-22United States and Canada abandon last-ditch trade talks as sectoral tariff dispute widensGM MXN TRP-1.89%
- 2026-08-20Banxico minutes signal policy rate is likely to stay at 6.50% for nowEWW M10Y MXN+2.20%
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