OFZ catalysts
Catalysts and events linked to OFZ, newest first.
OFZ stock catalysts and risks
Latest published review: 2026-10-20
| Development | Transmission channel | Evidence | Condition to watch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Russia begins a three-day parliamentary election as the Kremlin seeks to show wartime support 2026-09-18 · Watch | government-bond impact depends on later policy and sanctions signals, not the vote itself | Russia started a national parliamentary election | Not recorded |
| Russia begins voting in three-day State Duma election under wartime conditions 2026-09-18 · Watch | no immediate rate or fiscal change was announced with the vote | the event was the start of voting, not a policy decision | Not recorded |
| Irkutsk region raises recruitment payments for foreign fighters in the Ukraine war 2026-09-14 · Down | larger regional and war-related fiscal outlays can add to sovereign funding concerns | the payment increase was introduced by regional decree | Not recorded |
| Russia's finance ministry says the federal budget deficit reached 5.8 trillion rubles through August 2026-09-09 · Down | larger fiscal shortfalls can pressure local sovereign bonds on funding-supply concerns | Russian Ministry of Finance released a preliminary budget assessment showing a 5.8 trillion ruble deficit through August 2026 | Not recorded |
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DateCardAvg 5d
- 2026-09-18Russia begins voting in three-day State Duma election under wartime conditionsMOEX OFZ USD/RUB
- 2026-09-18Russia begins a three-day parliamentary election as the Kremlin seeks to show wartime supportOFZ RTSI USDRUB
- 2026-09-14Irkutsk region raises recruitment payments for foreign fighters in the Ukraine warMOEX OFZ RUB
- 2026-09-11Russian Central Bank signals a more cautious policy stance as inflation pressures riseMOEX OFZ RTSI RUB
- 2026-09-09Russia's finance ministry says the federal budget deficit reached 5.8 trillion rubles through AugustMOEX OFZ USD/RUB
- 2026-09-09Russia's finance ministry says the federal budget deficit reached 5.8 trillion rubles through AugustMOEX OFZ USD/RUB
- 2026-08-31Scott Bessent tells Anton Siluanov the United States will not offer Russia economic relief → Bearish OFZOFZ
- 2026-08-31Scott Bessent tells Anton Siluanov there will be no economic relief for Russia until the war ends, Reuters reportsOFZ RSX RUB
- 2026-08-02Ukrainian forces conduct multi-region drone and artillery strikes in Russia including Belgorod and SaratovOFZ RUB
- 2026-08-02Russian Defence Ministry reports interception of over 800 Ukrainian drones across multiple regionsOFZ RUB
- 2026-08-02Ukrainian forces conduct multi-region drone and artillery strikes in Russia including Belgorod and SaratovMOEX OFZ RUB
- 2026-08-02Russian Defence Ministry reports interception of over 800 Ukrainian drones across multiple regionsOFZ RTS RUB
- 2026-08-02Russian Defence Ministry reports interception of over 800 Ukrainian drones across multiple regionsOFZ RUB
- 2026-08-02Russian Defence Ministry reports interception of over 800 Ukrainian drones across multiple regionsOFZ RTS RUB
- 2026-08-02Ukrainian drone swarms hit multiple Russian regions including Udmurtia, killing civilians far beyond front lineOFZ URALS USDRUB
- 2026-07-27Putin signed a decree increasing the authorized strength of the Russian Armed ForcesOFZ RTS RUB
- 2026-07-19Market braces for upcoming Bank of Russia rate decision with oil spike and sanctions backdropLCOC1 OFZ USDRUB
- 2026-07-10Russia’s June trade balance data was released and showed a smaller-than-expected surplus of $11.43BMOEX OFZ RUB
- 2026-07-08Central Bank of Russia flags inflation risks and maintains tight stance ahead of next rate meetingMOEX OFZ USDRUB
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