SOFR catalysts
Catalysts and events linked to SOFR, newest first.
SOFR stock catalysts and risks
Latest published review: 2026-10-20
| Development | Transmission channel | Evidence | Condition to watch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Federal Reserve officials face renewed pressure after September payrolls miss economists' forecasts 2026-10-02 · Down | reduced odds of tighter policy compress forward rate expectations | Reuters said market expectations for a Fed rate increase this month retreated | Not recorded |
| World Bank prices $1.5 billion SOFR-linked sustainable development bond 2026-09-30 · Watch | the deal references SOFR but does not change the policy rate itself | the bond was linked to the SOFR index | Not recorded |
| Traders lift odds of a Fed rate hike after August inflation data 2026-09-11 · Up | higher expected policy rates reprice short-end funding markets higher | futures pricing moved to roughly 85% to 90% odds of a quarter-point hike | Not recorded |
| Markets price a Federal Reserve rate hike next week after oil and yield moves 2026-09-09 · Up | hike expectations lift implied front-end rates | coverage said expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike next week intensified | Not recorded |
| US Labor Department says initial jobless claims fell as goods trade deficit widened in July 2026-08-27 · Down | firmer labor-market data reduces near-term easing odds and supports short-term rates | initial claims fell to 203,000 in the latest week | Not recorded |
| Federal Reserve officials Beth Hammack and Thomas Barkin are scheduled to speak after softer inflation data 2026-08-13 · Watch | scheduled speeches provide no confirmed policy signal to reprice SOFR futures | Beth Hammack and Thomas Barkin were listed as scheduled speakers, with no remarks reported | Not recorded |
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DateCardAvg 5d
- 2026-10-02Federal Reserve officials face renewed pressure after September payrolls miss economists' forecastsSOFR TLT USDJPY+0.65%
- 2026-10-02Federal Reserve officials face renewed pressure after September payrolls miss economists' forecastsSOFR TLT USDJPY+0.65%
- 2026-09-30World Bank prices $1.5 billion SOFR-linked sustainable development bondBND SOFR WBG
- 2026-09-11Traders lift odds of a Fed rate hike after August inflation dataDXY IWM SOFR-1.66%
- 2026-09-11Traders lift odds of a Fed rate hike after August inflation dataDXY IWM SOFR-1.66%
- 2026-09-09Markets price a Federal Reserve rate hike next week after oil and yield movesSOFR TLT USD/JPY-1.04%
- 2026-09-09Markets price a Federal Reserve rate hike next week after oil and yield movesSOFR TLT USD/JPY-1.04%
- 2026-08-27US Labor Department says initial jobless claims fell as goods trade deficit widened in JulyDXY SOFR
- 2026-08-27US Labor Department says initial jobless claims fell as goods trade deficit widened in JulyDXY S&P 500 SOFR
- 2026-08-13Federal Reserve officials Beth Hammack and Thomas Barkin are scheduled to speak after softer inflation dataDXY SOFR US2Y
- 2026-08-12The Bureau of Labor Statistics says US consumer prices rose 3.4% in July as core inflation held at 2.5%.DXY GLD SOFR US10Y+2.20%
- 2026-08-04US Treasury Department auctions 4-week bills at 3.630% discount rate2-YEAR TREASURY YIELD 4-WEEK T-BILLS SOFR
- 2026-08-03Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Logan speaks on policy outlookDXY SOFR UST2Y
- 2026-07-11Dallas Fed President Logan backs more central clearing in Fed policy operationsBIL SHY SOFR US0003M+0.13%
- 2026-07-10Recent 6-week US Treasury bill auction clears at 3.635%BIL SOFR
- 2026-07-09FOMC minutes released with a hawkish inflation biasDXY SOFR UST2Y
- 2026-07-06Treasury bill auctions and a 10-year note auction are scheduled for todaySOFR US10Y US3M
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