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    Inspect the Market Ontology workflow · Oct 17, 2026

    Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK): Unlevered FCF DCF gives $102.23 per share against $145.95.

    AssumptionValueBasis
    Revenue growth (yr 1)-8.84%Trailing 4-year revenue CAGR of -8.8%, faded toward terminal growth over 5 years.
    Operating margin (steady-state)15%Anchored to mean operating margin of 15.0% across the last 0 reported periods.
    Discount rate (WACC)6.1%CAPM baseline: 5.10% risk-free + β0.13 × 5.5% ERP = 5.83%.
    Terminal growth (perpetual)2.55%Long-run nominal GDP proxy (½ × 10y UST = 2.55%).

    Sources: 10-yr UST (risk-free) — FRED DGS10; Equity beta (vs SPY, 1y) — Polygon daily bars; Equity risk premium — Damodaran (institutional consensus); Trailing FCF margin — Polygon vX financials; Sector — Polygon ticker reference; Latest filing — SEC EDGAR (via Polygon); Share count basis — Latest annual filing

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    Sources · Calculation method · Revision history

      Every figure shown is Market Ontology's stored, dated output. Comparative results appear only after a recorded test with the tested plan, tools, inputs and date.

      Version 9 · published Oct 21, 2026, 3:25 AM UTC. Not investment advice.