Does the reason you own Coupang, Inc. still hold?

    Review the position using today's evidence. Identify what still supports it, what has changed, and what deserves another decision.

    Price as of Nov 5, 2026, 9:01 AM UTC (polygon last daily bar) · Evidence through Nov 5, 2026

    The current case for continuing to hold

    The stored model values Coupang, Inc. at $13.55 per share against $17.05. The case rests on the conditions below.

    Reason to holdSupporting evidenceContrary evidenceCondition to review
    Revenue growth (yr 1): 18.83%Supported by the reviewed evidenceTrailing 4-year revenue CAGR of 18.8%, faded toward terminal growth over 5 years.None in the last 45 daysRe-underwrite if revenue growth, margins, or the cost of capital diverge materially from the stored assumptions.
    Operating margin (steady-state): 1.05%Supported by the reviewed evidenceAnchored to mean operating margin of 1.1% across the last 4 reported periods.None in the last 45 daysRe-underwrite if revenue growth, margins, or the cost of capital diverge materially from the stored assumptions.
    Discount rate (WACC): 5.95%Supported by the reviewed evidenceCAPM baseline: 4.95% risk-free + β-0.13 × 5.5% ERP = 4.23%.None in the last 45 daysRe-underwrite if revenue growth, margins, or the cost of capital diverge materially from the stored assumptions.

    What changed since the previous review?

    • Nov 5, 2026 · model $13.55 vs price $17.05 · discount rate 5.95% · Overvalued
    • Nov 5, 2026 · Coupang Generates $10B in Q3 Revenue Amid Accelerated Taiwan Investment
    • Nov 5, 2026 · Coupang grows revenue 11% in constant currency and invests in Taiwan
    • Nov 5, 2026 · Coupang showed 11% constant-currency growth while expanding in Taiwan
    • Oct 11, 2026 · MercadoLibre Posts 39.1% Revenue Growth and 6.9% Margin Across Latin America

    Review your holding.

    The observation that deserves your attention

    Discount rate moves the value most: 5.95% → 6.95% gives $11.19.

    Evidence to inspect: 10-yr UST (risk-free) (FRED DGS10); Equity beta (vs SPY, 1y) (Polygon daily bars); Equity risk premium (Damodaran (institutional consensus)).

    Make your next review start with what changed.

    Save your reasons for holding, the assumptions they depend on, and the conditions you want monitored. When relevant evidence changes, reopen the position with the previous and revised cases side by side.

    Should I buy?Should I sell?Should I hedge?How to hedgeImpact ledger

    Sources · Calculation method · Revision history

    • Valuation · Unlevered FCF DCF, as of 2026-11-05T09:01:06.085+00:00
    • Coupang Generates $10B in Q3 Revenue Amid Accelerated Taiwan Investment · 2026-11-05
    • Coupang grows revenue 11% in constant currency and invests in Taiwan · 2026-11-05
    • Coupang showed 11% constant-currency growth while expanding in Taiwan · 2026-11-05
    • MercadoLibre Posts 39.1% Revenue Growth and 6.9% Margin Across Latin America · 2026-10-11

    Values come from Market Ontology's stored discounted free-cash-flow model (5 forecast years, Gordon terminal value). Downside and upside rescale the stored value by DCF ratios with free cash flow 15% lower/higher and the discount rate 1 point higher/lower. Differences from the price are valuation differences, not predicted returns.

    Version 1 · published Nov 5, 2026, 9:25 AM UTC. Not investment advice.