Should you sell Motorola Solutions, Inc. New or reduce the position?
Calculate what you would remove, what you would retain, and which assumptions support continuing to own it.
Price as of Nov 5, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC (polygon last daily bar) · Evidence through Nov 5, 2026
What has changed in the case for owning it?
Market Ontology's model values Motorola Solutions, Inc. New at $428.30 per share against $496.99 (-13.8%). 4 dated developments in the last 45 days reach the position.
| Development | Evidence | Assumption affected | Consequence for the case |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 · Motorola Solutions reported Q3 revenue of $3.38B and EPS of $4.69 | 1 sources | operating margin expansion on public-safety hardware demand | Supports the case for owning |
| Nov 5, 2026 · Motorola Solutions beats Q3 revenue and EPS on Mission Critical demand | 1 sources | earnings multiple expansion on public safety backlog delivery | Supports the case for owning |
| Nov 5, 2026 · Motorola Solutions beat Q3 revenue and EPS estimates | 1 sources | operating margin resilience via Mission Critical public safety communications contracts | Supports the case for owning |
| Nov 5, 2026 · Motorola Solutions Q3 revenue tops estimates at $3.38B on 12.2% year-over-year growth | 1 sources | operating margin expansion on mission-critical system shipments | Supports the case for owning |
What changes if you sell?
| Keep current position | Sell selected quantity | Exit position | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shares remaining | 100 | 50 | 0 |
| Estimated proceeds after included transaction costs | — | $24,837 | $49,674 |
| Downside case ($267.14) outcome | −$22,985 | −$11,493 | $0 |
| Upside case ($720.35) outcome | $22,336 | $11,168 | $0 |
| Remaining exposure | $49,699 | $24,850 | $0 |
Included costs: an assumed 5 bps for commission and spread. Tax treatment: not calculated; cost basis is not used in this comparison.
Undecided: sale proceeds and remaining exposure are calculated; replacement performance is left unresolved.
What would justify keeping the remaining position?
- Revenue growth (yr 1) holds near 8.63%: Trailing 4-year revenue CAGR of 8.6%, faded toward terminal growth over 5 years.
- Operating margin (steady-state) holds near 22.91%: Anchored to mean operating margin of 22.9% across the last 4 reported periods.
- Discount rate (WACC) holds near 5.95%: CAPM baseline: 4.95% risk-free + β0.15 × 5.5% ERP = 5.80%.
What would justify investigating it again after an exit?
- Implied revenue growth (yr 1, faded to terminal) moves relative to 14.76%: First-year growth that, on the same model, reconciles the current price holding operating margin, 106% cash conversion, WACC and terminal g fixed.
- Implied steady-state operating margin moves relative to 26.24%: Operating margin the current price requires on the same model at modeled growth, tax, cash conversion and WACC.
- The price falls below the downside value of $267.14.
Preserve the reasoning behind the sale.
Save the reduction you're considering, the evidence behind it, and your conditions for reviewing the remaining position. If you exit, keep the research and specify what would justify revisiting MSI.
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