Intelligence Feed event · Macro · 2026-07-14

    NFIB U.S. small business optimism index edges higher in June

    Question

    NFIB U.S. small business optimism index edges higher in June

    Direct answer

    Incrementally better sentiment data modestly supports U.S. cyclical and small‑cap equities versus defensives, with limited impact on the rates complex.

    Original publisher
    Market Ontology
    Evidence through
    2026-07-14
    Published
    2026-10-20
    Revision
    1 · 2026-10-20

    Cite as: Market Ontology, “NFIB U.S. small business optimism index edges higher in June”, revision 1, evidence through 2026-07-14. https://marketontology.com/market-events/2026-07-14/nfib-u-s-small-business-optimism-index-edges-higher-in-june-1f3c11

    MACRO
    NFIB U.S. small business optimism index edges higher in June
    Incrementally better sentiment data modestly supports U.S. cyclical and small‑cap equities versus defensives, with limited impact on the rates complex.
    IWMSPYRTY_F
    Impact
    55
    JUL 14
    SIG
    IWMSPYRTY_F
    NFIB U.S. small business optimism index edges higher in June
    Incrementally better sentiment data modestly supports U.S. cyclical and small‑cap equities versus defensives, with limited impact on the rates complex.
    Impact
    Incrementally better sentiment data modestly supports U.S. cyclical and small‑cap equities versus defensives, with limited impact on the rates complex.
    Affected
    IWMSPYRTY_F

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    What happened next

    AssetCallBase close+1 day+5 days+20 days
    IWMUpagreed294.51 2026-07-14+0.43%+0.69%+2.20%
    SPYUpagreed751.83 2026-07-14+0.40%-0.47%+2.49%

    Closing prices from stored daily bars; returns measured from the last close on or before the event date. Not a recommendation.

    Sources

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