Intelligence Feed event · Macro · 2026-07-21

    Philadelphia Fed July non-manufacturing business survey in focus for U.S. services momentum

    Question

    Philadelphia Fed July non-manufacturing business survey in focus for U.S. services momentum

    Direct answer

    A strong surprise would support SPX and push U.S. 2Y yield (US2Y) higher; a weak print would weigh on cyclicals and support rate‑cut expectations.

    Original publisher
    Market Ontology
    Evidence through
    2026-07-21
    Published
    2026-10-20
    Revision
    1 · 2026-10-20

    Cite as: Market Ontology, “Philadelphia Fed July non-manufacturing business survey in focus for U.S. services momentum”, revision 1, evidence through 2026-07-21. https://marketontology.com/market-events/2026-07-21/philadelphia-fed-july-non-manufacturing-business-survey-in-focus-for-u-s-service-062b74

    MACRO
    Philadelphia Fed July non-manufacturing business survey in focus for U.S. services momentum
    A strong surprise would support SPX and push U.S. 2Y yield (US2Y) higher; a weak print would weigh on cyclicals and support rate‑cut expectations.
    SPXUS2YXLF
    Impact
    55
    JUL 21
    SIG
    SPXUS2YXLF
    Philadelphia Fed July non-manufacturing business survey in focus for U.S. services momentum
    A strong surprise would support SPX and push U.S. 2Y yield (US2Y) higher; a weak print would weigh on cyclicals and support rate‑cut expectations.
    Impact
    A strong surprise would support SPX and push U.S. 2Y yield (US2Y) higher; a weak print would weigh on cyclicals and support rate‑cut expectations.
    Affected
    SPXUS2YXLF
    Source facts

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    What happened next

    AssetCallBase close+1 day+5 days+20 days
    XLFWatch56.11 2026-07-21-0.11%+2.66%+3.08%

    Closing prices from stored daily bars; returns measured from the last close on or before the event date. Not a recommendation.

    Sources

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