Intelligence Feed event · Macro · 2026-07-27

    RBA cash rate held at 4.35% in June with markets now focused on August meeting

    Question

    RBA cash rate held at 4.35% in June with markets now focused on August meeting

    Direct answer

    Current 4.35% cash rate anchors Australian money-market curves and short-end ACGB pricing, with rate options and swaps calibrating probabilities of an additional 25 bp hike by year-end.[2][8][9][10]

    Original publisher
    Market Ontology
    Evidence through
    2026-07-27
    Published
    2026-10-20
    Revision
    1 · 2026-10-20

    Cite as: Market Ontology, “RBA cash rate held at 4.35% in June with markets now focused on August meeting”, revision 1, evidence through 2026-07-27. https://marketontology.com/market-events/2026-07-27/rba-cash-rate-held-at-4-35-in-june-with-markets-now-focused-on-august-meeting-5f815d

    MACRO
    RBA cash rate held at 4.35% in June with markets now focused on August meeting
    Current 4.35% cash rate anchors Australian money-market curves and short-end ACGB pricing, with rate options and swaps calibrating probabilities of an additional 25 bp hike by year-end.[2][8][9][10]
    RBAOISXTMAU3YBBSW3MAUDUSD
    Impact
    61
    JUL 27
    SIG
    RBAOISXTMAU3YBBSW3M
    RBA cash rate held at 4.35% in June with markets now focused on August meeting
    Current 4.35% cash rate anchors Australian money-market curves and short-end ACGB pricing, with rate options and swaps calibrating probabilities of an additional 25 bp hike by year-end.[2][8][9][10]
    Impact
    Current 4.35% cash rate anchors Australian money-market curves and short-end ACGB pricing, with rate options and swaps calibrating probabilities of an additional 25 bp hike by year-end.[2][8][9][10]
    Affected
    RBAOISXTMAU3YBBSW3MAUDUSD

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    What happened next

    Price follow-up pending — no stored daily closes for these assets yet.

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    Sources

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