Brazilian Selic futures price knife-edge August cut contingent on today’s inflation data
Question
Brazilian Selic futures price knife-edge August cut contingent on today’s inflation data
Direct answer
Any shift in implied August Copom probabilities following IPCA-15 and the Focus survey will move short-end DI futures, Brazilian bank equities, and BRLUSD as investors recalibrate carry trades and duration exposure.
- Original publisher
- Market Ontology
- Evidence through
- 2026-07-28
- Published
- 2026-10-20
- Revision
- 1 · 2026-10-20
Cite as: Market Ontology, “Brazilian Selic futures price knife-edge August cut contingent on today’s inflation data”, revision 1, evidence through 2026-07-28. https://marketontology.com/market-events/2026-07-28/brazilian-selic-futures-price-knife-edge-august-cut-contingent-on-today-s-inflat-b83511
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What happened next
Price follow-up pending — no stored daily closes for these assets yet.
Closing prices from stored daily bars; returns measured from the last close on or before the event date. Not a recommendation.
Sources
Related
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- 2026-10-17Brazil's economic activity rises 0.3% in August, matching economists' forecastBRL DI1F27 EWZ
- 2026-10-16Brazil’s central bank reports economic activity rose 0.3% in AugustBRL/USD DI1F27
- 2026-10-13IMF cuts Latin America and Caribbean growth forecasts as the Middle East energy shock weighs on the regionBBD BRLUSD ILF-0.99%
- 2026-10-13Brazil economists lower their 2026 year-end Selic forecast to 13.25%BRL/USD BZFUT DI1F27
- 2026-10-13IMF cuts Latin America and Caribbean growth forecasts as the Middle East energy shock weighs on the regionBBD BRLUSD ILF-0.99%
- 2026-10-11Brazilian inflation accelerated above expectations in September as food and services prices broadenedBRLUSD DI1F27 IBOV
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