Intelligence Feed event · Macro · 2026-07-29

    Australia Q2 2026 CPI and June monthly inflation undershoot forecasts, easing pressure on RBA tightening

    Question

    Australia Q2 2026 CPI and June monthly inflation undershoot forecasts, easing pressure on RBA tightening

    Direct answer

    Australian June-quarter CPI miss and softer trimmed mean saw AUD/USD slip intraday and 3‑year ACGB and 10‑year ACGB yields fall as traders cut the probability of an RBA hike at the 11 August meeting, while the ASX 200 Banks index outperformed on reduced mortgage-rate risk.

    Original publisher
    Market Ontology
    Evidence through
    2026-07-29
    Published
    2026-10-20
    Revision
    1 · 2026-10-20

    Cite as: Market Ontology, “Australia Q2 2026 CPI and June monthly inflation undershoot forecasts, easing pressure on RBA tightening”, revision 1, evidence through 2026-07-29. https://marketontology.com/market-events/2026-07-29/australia-q2-2026-cpi-and-june-monthly-inflation-undershoot-forecasts-easing-pre-bdb48f

    MACRO
    Australia Q2 2026 CPI and June monthly inflation undershoot forecasts, easing pressure on RBA tightening
    Australian June-quarter CPI miss and softer trimmed mean saw AUD/USD slip intraday and 3‑year ACGB and 10‑year ACGB yields fall as traders cut the probability of an RBA hike at the 11 August meeting, while the ASX 200 Banks index outperformed on reduced mortgage-rate risk.
    AUDUSDXJOAU3YAU10Y
    Impact
    81
    JUL 29
    SIG
    AUDUSDXJOAU3Y
    Australia Q2 2026 CPI and June monthly inflation undershoot forecasts, easing pressure on RBA tightening
    Australian June-quarter CPI miss and softer trimmed mean saw AUD/USD slip intraday and 3‑year ACGB and 10‑year ACGB yields fall as traders cut the probability of an RBA hike at the 11 August meeting, while the ASX 200 Banks index outperformed on reduced mortgage-rate risk.
    Impact
    Australian June-quarter CPI miss and softer trimmed mean saw AUD/USD slip intraday and 3‑year ACGB and 10‑year ACGB yields fall as traders cut the probability of an RBA hike at the 11 August meeting, while the ASX 200 Banks index outperformed on reduced mortgage-rate risk.
    Affected
    AUDUSDXJOAU3YAU10Y

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    What happened next

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