Softer Q2 CPI sharply reduces odds of August RBA hike
Question
Softer Q2 CPI sharply reduces odds of August RBA hike
Direct answer
AUD 2-year government bond yields fell around 8bp to ~4.49%, while rate futures cut implied probability of an August RBA hike from about 18% to near 2%, weighing modestly on AUDUSD but supporting ASX200 rate-sensitive sectors.
- Original publisher
- Market Ontology
- Evidence through
- 2026-07-30
- Published
- 2026-10-20
- Revision
- 1 · 2026-10-20
Cite as: Market Ontology, “Softer Q2 CPI sharply reduces odds of August RBA hike”, revision 1, evidence through 2026-07-30. https://marketontology.com/market-events/2026-07-30/softer-q2-cpi-sharply-reduces-odds-of-august-rba-hike-9fdd81
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