Intelligence Feed event · Macro · 2026-07-31

    China National Bureau of Statistics reports July manufacturing and services PMIs falling below 50

    Question

    China National Bureau of Statistics reports July manufacturing and services PMIs falling below 50

    Direct answer

    The weaker-than-expected PMIs pressure CNH and CNY lower against USD (USD/CNH, USD/CNY), weigh on China-sensitive equities such as FXI and HSCEI, and support defensive flows into USDCNH options and industrial commodity hedges.

    Original publisher
    Market Ontology
    Evidence through
    2026-07-31
    Published
    2026-10-20
    Revision
    1 · 2026-10-20

    Cite as: Market Ontology, “China National Bureau of Statistics reports July manufacturing and services PMIs falling below 50”, revision 1, evidence through 2026-07-31. https://marketontology.com/market-events/2026-07-31/china-national-bureau-of-statistics-reports-july-manufacturing-and-services-pmis-e1cdf7

    MACRO
    China National Bureau of Statistics reports July manufacturing and services PMIs falling below 50
    The weaker-than-expected PMIs pressure CNH and CNY lower against USD (USD/CNH, USD/CNY), weigh on China-sensitive equities such as FXI and HSCEI, and support defensive flows into USDCNH options and industrial commodity hedges.
    USD/CNHUSD/CNYFXIHSCEICOPPER FUTURES
    Impact
    81
    JUL 31
    SIG
    USD/CNHUSD/CNYFXI
    China National Bureau of Statistics reports July manufacturing and services PMIs falling below 50
    The weaker-than-expected PMIs pressure CNH and CNY lower against USD (USD/CNH, USD/CNY), weigh on China-sensitive equities such as FXI and HSCEI, and support defensive flows into USDCNH options and industrial commodity hedges.
    Impact
    The weaker-than-expected PMIs pressure CNH and CNY lower against USD (USD/CNH, USD/CNY), weigh on China-sensitive equities such as FXI and HSCEI, and support defensive flows into USDCNH options and industrial commodity hedges.
    Affected
    USD/CNHUSD/CNYFXIHSCEICOPPER FUTURES

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    What happened next

    AssetCallBase close+1 day+5 days+20 days
    FXIMixed36.50 2026-07-31-0.11%-0.90%-2.71%

    Closing prices from stored daily bars; returns measured from the last close on or before the event date. Not a recommendation.

    Sources

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