Intelligence Feed event · Macro · 2026-07-31

    China’s official July manufacturing PMI falls back into contraction

    Question

    China’s official July manufacturing PMI falls back into contraction

    Direct answer

    The weaker PMI adds downside pressure to Chinese growth expectations and is negative for CNH and China-sensitive commodities like copper, while weighing on China-exposed equities such as FXI.

    Original publisher
    Market Ontology
    Evidence through
    2026-07-31
    Published
    2026-10-20
    Revision
    1 · 2026-10-20

    Cite as: Market Ontology, “China’s official July manufacturing PMI falls back into contraction”, revision 1, evidence through 2026-07-31. https://marketontology.com/market-events/2026-07-31/china-s-official-july-manufacturing-pmi-falls-back-into-contraction-8773ce

    MACRO
    China’s official July manufacturing PMI falls back into contraction
    The weaker PMI adds downside pressure to Chinese growth expectations and is negative for CNH and China-sensitive commodities like copper, while weighing on China-exposed equities such as FXI.
    USDCNHHG1FXI
    Impact
    80
    JUL 31
    SIG
    USDCNHHG1FXI
    China’s official July manufacturing PMI falls back into contraction
    The weaker PMI adds downside pressure to Chinese growth expectations and is negative for CNH and China-sensitive commodities like copper, while weighing on China-exposed equities such as FXI.
    Impact
    The weaker PMI adds downside pressure to Chinese growth expectations and is negative for CNH and China-sensitive commodities like copper, while weighing on China-exposed equities such as FXI.
    Affected
    USDCNHHG1FXI
    Source facts

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    What happened next

    AssetCallBase close+1 day+5 days+20 days
    FXIWatch36.50 2026-07-31-0.11%-0.90%-2.71%

    Closing prices from stored daily bars; returns measured from the last close on or before the event date. Not a recommendation.

    Sources

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