Intelligence Feed event · Macro · 2026-07-31

    China’s official manufacturing PMI falls to 49.2 in July, first contraction in five months

    Question

    China’s official manufacturing PMI falls to 49.2 in July, first contraction in five months

    Direct answer

    The surprise contraction weighed on CN equity sentiment and pressured CNH, while reinforcing expectations for further policy support and impacting demand outlooks for commodities such as copper.

    Original publisher
    Market Ontology
    Evidence through
    2026-07-31
    Published
    2026-10-20
    Revision
    1 · 2026-10-20

    Cite as: Market Ontology, “China’s official manufacturing PMI falls to 49.2 in July, first contraction in five months”, revision 1, evidence through 2026-07-31. https://marketontology.com/market-events/2026-07-31/china-s-official-manufacturing-pmi-falls-to-49-2-in-july-first-contraction-in-fi-c38a9e

    MACRO
    China’s official manufacturing PMI falls to 49.2 in July, first contraction in five months
    The surprise contraction weighed on CN equity sentiment and pressured CNH, while reinforcing expectations for further policy support and impacting demand outlooks for commodities such as copper.
    CNHUSDSHCOMPHG1
    Impact
    80
    JUL 31
    SIG
    CNHUSDSHCOMPHG1
    China’s official manufacturing PMI falls to 49.2 in July, first contraction in five months
    The surprise contraction weighed on CN equity sentiment and pressured CNH, while reinforcing expectations for further policy support and impacting demand outlooks for commodities such as copper.
    Impact
    The surprise contraction weighed on CN equity sentiment and pressured CNH, while reinforcing expectations for further policy support and impacting demand outlooks for commodities such as copper.
    Affected
    CNHUSDSHCOMPHG1

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    What happened next

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