Intelligence Feed event · Macro · 2026-08-01

    Reserve Bank of Australia cuts August hike odds after weaker Q2 inflation print

    Question

    Reserve Bank of Australia cuts August hike odds after weaker Q2 inflation print

    Direct answer

    Australian 2-year government bond yield fell around 8–9 bps to near 4.49%, while AUDUSD strength was capped as OIS curves priced out an August RBA hike.

    Original publisher
    Market Ontology
    Evidence through
    2026-08-01
    Published
    2026-10-20
    Revision
    1 · 2026-10-20

    Cite as: Market Ontology, “Reserve Bank of Australia cuts August hike odds after weaker Q2 inflation print”, revision 1, evidence through 2026-08-01. https://marketontology.com/market-events/2026-08-01/reserve-bank-of-australia-cuts-august-hike-odds-after-weaker-q2-inflation-print-76a1ca

    MACRO
    Reserve Bank of Australia cuts August hike odds after weaker Q2 inflation print
    Australian 2-year government bond yield fell around 8–9 bps to near 4.49%, while AUDUSD strength was capped as OIS curves priced out an August RBA hike.
    AUDUSDAU2YXJO
    Impact
    80
    AUG 1
    SIG
    AUDUSDAU2YXJO
    Reserve Bank of Australia cuts August hike odds after weaker Q2 inflation print
    Australian 2-year government bond yield fell around 8–9 bps to near 4.49%, while AUDUSD strength was capped as OIS curves priced out an August RBA hike.
    Impact
    Australian 2-year government bond yield fell around 8–9 bps to near 4.49%, while AUDUSD strength was capped as OIS curves priced out an August RBA hike.
    Affected
    AUDUSDAU2YXJO
    Source facts

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    What happened next

    Price follow-up pending — no stored daily closes for these assets yet.

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    Sources

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