Brazil's central bank activity index shows the economy expanded only 0.2% in the second quarter
Question
Brazil's central bank activity index shows the economy expanded only 0.2% in the second quarter
Direct answer
B3 / Ibovespa, BRL/USD, Brazilian rate futures (DI1)
- Original publisher
- Market Ontology
- Evidence through
- 2026-08-17
- Published
- 2026-10-20
- Revision
- 1 · 2026-10-20
Cite as: Market Ontology, “Brazil's central bank activity index shows the economy expanded only 0.2% in the second quarter”, revision 1, evidence through 2026-08-17. https://marketontology.com/market-events/2026-08-17/brazil-s-central-bank-activity-index-shows-the-economy-expanded-only-0-2-in-the-c8c724
How this development reaches the affected companies
| Asset | Exposure and channel | Direction | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRL/USD | slower activity raises expectations for easier policy and weaker growth support for the real | Down1-5d | IBC-Br fell 0.6% in June and rose only 0.2% in Q2 |
| DI1 | weaker activity can bring forward rate-cut pricing in Brazil's curve | Up1-5d | the central bank proxy showed softer momentum than forecast |
| EWZ | slower domestic growth weighs on Brazilian equities tied to local demand | Down1-5d | the central bank activity index pointed to a loss of momentum in services and overall activity |
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What happened next
| Asset | Call | Base close | +1 day | +5 days | +20 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EWZ | Downdisagreed | 33.97 2026-08-17 | -0.79% | +3.53% | +11.22% |
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Sources
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