People’s Bank of China is expected to leave the one-year loan prime rate unchanged at 3.00%
Question
People’s Bank of China is expected to leave the one-year loan prime rate unchanged at 3.00%
Direct answer
Rates: onshore funding expectations stay steady; FX: the yuan may avoid a dovish shock; property and rate-sensitive shares remain exposed to any later easing.
- Original publisher
- Market Ontology
- Evidence through
- 2026-08-18
- Published
- 2026-10-20
- Revision
- 1 · 2026-10-20
Cite as: Market Ontology, “People’s Bank of China is expected to leave the one-year loan prime rate unchanged at 3.00%”, revision 1, evidence through 2026-08-18. https://marketontology.com/market-events/2026-08-18/people-s-bank-of-china-is-expected-to-leave-the-one-year-loan-prime-rate-unchang-2b8dd7
How this development reaches the affected companies
| Asset | Exposure and channel | Direction | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNY | an unchanged policy rate would reduce immediate policy surprise, but the data backdrop still leaves the currency exposed to growth concerns | Watch1-5d | DBS expects the PBOC to keep the 1Y LPR unchanged at 3.00% |
| HKD | Hong Kong funding conditions can be influenced indirectly by mainland policy expectations, but the sign is not deterministic from this note alone | Watch1-5d | the source only states an unchanged PBOC loan prime rate expectation |
| FTSE CHINA A50 INDEX | no immediate policy surprise supports sentiment, but weak domestic demand remains a drag on onshore equities | Mixed1-5d | exports and industrial activity are resilient while retail sales and credit demand remain soft |
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What happened next
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Sources
Related
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