Intelligence Feed event · Geopolitical · 2026-08-31

    Iran's Revolutionary Guards launch ballistic missiles at U.S. bases in Jordan after the Larak strike

    Question

    Iran's Revolutionary Guards launch ballistic missiles at U.S. bases in Jordan after the Larak strike

    Direct answer

    The retaliation increases the probability of broader regional escalation, lifting crude volatility, defense demand and safe-haven bid while weighing on risk assets tied to Gulf stability.

    Original publisher
    Market Ontology
    Evidence through
    2026-08-31
    Published
    2026-10-20
    Revision
    1 · 2026-10-20

    Cite as: Market Ontology, “Iran's Revolutionary Guards launch ballistic missiles at U.S. bases in Jordan after the Larak strike”, revision 1, evidence through 2026-08-31. https://marketontology.com/market-events/2026-08-31/iran-s-revolutionary-guards-launch-ballistic-missiles-at-u-s-bases-in-jordan-aft-ab3e7b

    GEOPOLITICAL
    Iran's Revolutionary Guards launch ballistic missiles at U.S. bases in Jordan after the Larak strike
    The retaliation increases the probability of broader regional escalation, lifting crude volatility, defense demand and safe-haven bid while weighing on risk assets tied to Gulf stability.
    BZ=FGLDTAK
    Impact
    95
    AUG 31
    SIG
    BZ=FGLDTAK
    Iran's Revolutionary Guards launch ballistic missiles at U.S. bases in Jordan after the Larak strike
    The retaliation increases the probability of broader regional escalation, lifting crude volatility, defense demand and safe-haven bid while weighing on risk assets tied to Gulf stability.
    Impact
    The retaliation increases the probability of broader regional escalation, lifting crude volatility, defense demand and safe-haven bid while weighing on risk assets tied to Gulf stability.
    Affected
    BZ=FGLDTAK
    Source facts

    How this development reaches the affected companies

    AssetExposure and channelDirectionEvidence
    BZ=Fretaliation from Iran raises the chance of wider Gulf disruption and a crude risk premiumUpintradayIran fired missiles at U.S. bases in Jordan after the U.S. strike on Larak Island
    GLDescalation into direct Iran-U.S. fire support safe-haven demand for goldUpintradayIran and the U.S. exchanged military attacks, the first such exchange in weeks
    TAKJapan tanker/energy transport names can gain from higher freight and war-risk pricingUp1-5dthe attack followed a strike tied to sea mines in Hormuz, threatening shipping

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    What happened next

    AssetCallBase close+1 day+5 days+20 days
    GLDUpdisagreed408.42 2026-08-31-2.86%-2.13%-6.25%

    Closing prices from stored daily bars; returns measured from the last close on or before the event date. Not a recommendation.

    Sources

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