Intelligence Feed event · Geopolitical · 2026-08-31

    Iranian Revolutionary Guards fire ballistic missiles at US bases in Jordan after new American strikes

    Question

    Iranian Revolutionary Guards fire ballistic missiles at US bases in Jordan after new American strikes

    Direct answer

    The renewed US-Iran exchange lifts risk premia across Gulf transport and energy routes and raises the probability of further disruption around the Strait of Hormuz.

    Original publisher
    Market Ontology
    Evidence through
    2026-08-31
    Published
    2026-10-20
    Revision
    1 · 2026-10-20

    Cite as: Market Ontology, “Iranian Revolutionary Guards fire ballistic missiles at US bases in Jordan after new American strikes”, revision 1, evidence through 2026-08-31. https://marketontology.com/market-events/2026-08-31/iranian-revolutionary-guards-fire-ballistic-missiles-at-us-bases-in-jordan-after-8fbd90

    GEOPOLITICAL
    Iranian Revolutionary Guards fire ballistic missiles at US bases in Jordan after new American strikes
    The renewed US-Iran exchange lifts risk premia across Gulf transport and energy routes and raises the probability of further disruption around the Strait of Hormuz.
    CLXLEDXY
    Impact
    95
    AUG 31
    SIG
    CLXLEDXY
    Iranian Revolutionary Guards fire ballistic missiles at US bases in Jordan after new American strikes
    The renewed US-Iran exchange lifts risk premia across Gulf transport and energy routes and raises the probability of further disruption around the Strait of Hormuz.
    Impact
    The renewed US-Iran exchange lifts risk premia across Gulf transport and energy routes and raises the probability of further disruption around the Strait of Hormuz.
    Affected
    CLXLEDXY

    How this development reaches the affected companies

    AssetExposure and channelDirectionEvidence
    CLfresh conflict risk in the Gulf raises the oil risk premiumUpintradayIran attacked US military targets and reports also cited strikes and escalation around Hormuz
    XLEhigher crude prices and supply-risk expectations support energy equitiesUp1-5dmarket coverage cited oil rising above $90 as US and Iran resumed strikes
    DXYsafe-haven demand typically strengthens the dollar during regional escalationUpintradaythe US-Iran exchange renewed after a month and involved ballistic missiles and airstrikes

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    What happened next

    AssetCallBase close+1 day+5 days+20 days
    CLUpdisagreed89.82 2026-08-31-0.21%-1.57%-3.74%
    XLEUpdisagreed63.96 2026-08-31+1.27%+1.27%-3.78%

    Closing prices from stored daily bars; returns measured from the last close on or before the event date. Not a recommendation.

    Sources

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