Encuesta de Quaest muestra a Flavio Bolsonaro empatado con Lula en un eventual balotaje
Question
Encuesta de Quaest muestra a Flavio Bolsonaro empatado con Lula en un eventual balotaje
Direct answer
La señal política puede mover **BRL**, **EWZ** y la parte larga de la curva de **DI** por mayor prima de riesgo electoral y de gobernabilidad.
- Original publisher
- Market Ontology
- Evidence through
- 2026-09-07
- Published
- 2026-10-20
- Revision
- 1 · 2026-10-20
Cite as: Market Ontology, “Encuesta de Quaest muestra a Flavio Bolsonaro empatado con Lula en un eventual balotaje”, revision 1, evidence through 2026-09-07. https://marketontology.com/market-events/2026-09-07/encuesta-de-quaest-muestra-a-flavio-bolsonaro-empatado-con-lula-en-un-eventual-b-0e91a7
How this development reaches the affected companies
| Asset | Exposure and channel | Direction | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRL/USD | el aumento de incertidumbre electoral suele elevar la prima de riesgo del real | Watch1-5d | la encuesta mostró empate entre Flavio Bolsonaro y Lula |
| EWZ | una campaña más cerrada puede afectar la valoración de bancos, utilities y consumo | Watch1-5d | la encuesta publicada el lunes estrechó la carrera presidencial |
| BRAZIL LONG-END RATES | más riesgo político eleva la prima de plazo en la curva local | Up1-5d | la crisis del Supremo Tribunal fue citada como catalizador político en la cobertura |
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What happened next
| Asset | Call | Base close | +1 day | +5 days | +20 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EWZ | Watch | 37.86 2026-09-04 | +1.98% | -0.37% | +12.49% |
Closing prices from stored daily bars; returns measured from the last close on or before the event date. Not a recommendation.
Sources
Related
- 2026-10-20Brazil heads into a closely fought presidential runoff scheduled for October 25BRLUSD DI1F27 EWZ
- 2026-10-18Datafolha poll narrows Brazil presidential runoff gap between Flavio Bolsonaro and Luiz Inacio Lula da SilvaBRL/USD EWZ PETR3
- 2026-10-17Brazilian Central Bank reports August economic activity rose 0.3% from JulyBRL/USD DI1F27 EWZ
- 2026-10-17Lebanon said it will send a military delegation to a US-backed trilateral meeting with IsraelEWZ USDILS
- 2026-10-17Brazil's economic activity rises 0.3% in August, matching economists' forecastBRL DI1F27 EWZ
- 2026-10-16Brazil’s central bank reports economic activity rose 0.3% in AugustBRL/USD DI1F27
- 2026-10-15Brazil's central bank reports $3.214 billion of cumulative foreign-capital inflows through October 9BRL/USD EWZ
- 2026-10-13Banco Bradesco Director Purchases $843,000 in Preference Shares Amid Macro EasingBBD EWZ-1.19%
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