Intelligence Feed event · Macro · 2026-09-21

    Bank of Japan raises its policy rate to 1.25% in a split vote

    Question

    Bank of Japan raises its policy rate to 1.25% in a split vote

    Direct answer

    Higher Japanese rates support JPY, pressure JGB prices, and can tighten funding conditions for Nikkei 225 exporters and rate-sensitive global carry trades.

    Original publisher
    Market Ontology
    Evidence through
    2026-09-21
    Published
    2026-10-20
    Revision
    1 · 2026-10-22

    Cite as: Market Ontology, “Bank of Japan raises its policy rate to 1.25% in a split vote”, revision 1, evidence through 2026-09-21. https://marketontology.com/market-events/2026-09-21/bank-of-japan-raises-its-policy-rate-to-1-25-in-a-split-vote-289ae0

    MACRO
    Bank of Japan raises its policy rate to 1.25% in a split vote
    Higher Japanese rates support JPY, pressure JGB prices, and can tighten funding conditions for Nikkei 225 exporters and rate-sensitive global carry trades.
    JPYNIKKEI 225JGB 10Y
    Impact
    95
    SEP 21
    SIG
    JPYNIKKEI 225JGB 10Y
    Bank of Japan raises its policy rate to 1.25% in a split vote
    Higher Japanese rates support JPY, pressure JGB prices, and can tighten funding conditions for Nikkei 225 exporters and rate-sensitive global carry trades.
    Impact
    Higher Japanese rates support JPY, pressure JGB prices, and can tighten funding conditions for Nikkei 225 exporters and rate-sensitive global carry trades.
    Affected
    JPYNIKKEI 225JGB 10Y
    Source facts

    How this development reaches the affected companies

    AssetExposure and channelDirectionEvidence
    JPYa higher policy rate widens expected yield support for the currencyUp1-5dthe Bank of Japan lifted its key rate to 1.25%
    NIKKEI 225tighter domestic monetary conditions can weigh on exporter valuations and broader equity multiplesDown1-5dthe Bank of Japan raised rates in a split vote
    JGB 10Ya tighter policy path tends to lift yields and lower bond pricesDown1-5dthe Bank of Japan increased the policy rate by 25 bps

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    What happened next

    AssetCallBase close+1 day+5 days+20 days
    JPYUpdisagreed39.31 2026-09-21+0.48%-0.94%-2.60%

    Closing prices from stored daily bars; returns measured from the last close on or before the event date. Not a recommendation.

    Sources

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