Intelligence Feed event · Macro · 2026-09-23

    S&P Global says US private-sector activity jumped to a five-year high in September

    Question

    S&P Global says US private-sector activity jumped to a five-year high in September

    Direct answer

    Higher growth and firmer inflation expectations are supportive for USD and short-dated Treasury yields, while pressure on rate-sensitive equities can weigh on NDX and TLT.

    Original publisher
    Market Ontology
    Evidence through
    2026-09-23
    Published
    2026-10-20
    Revision
    1 · 2026-10-20

    Cite as: Market Ontology, “S&P Global says US private-sector activity jumped to a five-year high in September”, revision 1, evidence through 2026-09-23. https://marketontology.com/market-events/2026-09-23/s-p-global-says-us-private-sector-activity-jumped-to-a-five-year-high-in-septemb-2787f4

    MACRO
    S&P Global says US private-sector activity jumped to a five-year high in September
    Higher growth and firmer inflation expectations are supportive for USD and short-dated Treasury yields, while pressure on rate-sensitive equities can weigh on NDX and TLT.
    DXYTLTNDX
    Impact
    80
    SEP 23
    SIG
    DXYTLTNDX
    S&P Global says US private-sector activity jumped to a five-year high in September
    Higher growth and firmer inflation expectations are supportive for USD and short-dated Treasury yields, while pressure on rate-sensitive equities can weigh on NDX and TLT.
    Impact
    Higher growth and firmer inflation expectations are supportive for USD and short-dated Treasury yields, while pressure on rate-sensitive equities can weigh on NDX and TLT.
    Affected
    DXYTLTNDX

    How this development reaches the affected companies

    AssetExposure and channelDirectionEvidence
    DXYfirmer US growth and inflation expectations raise the dollar's rate advantageUp1-5dflash US Composite PMI jumped to 58.4, the highest since July 2021
    TLTstronger growth and hotter price pressures reduce duration demandDown1-5dPMI showed price pressures intensifying alongside faster activity
    NDXhigher yields and renewed Fed-tightening expectations typically pressure long-duration growth stocksDown1-5dUS yields rose sharply after the PMI and weak Treasury auction

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    What happened next

    AssetCallBase close+1 day+5 days+20 days
    TLTDownagreed80.46 2026-09-23-1.29%-3.33%Pending

    Closing prices from stored daily bars; returns measured from the last close on or before the event date. Not a recommendation.

    Sources

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