Intelligence Feed event · Macro · 2026-09-29

    Statistics Canada says Canada GDP was flat in July and August is tracking higher

    Question

    Statistics Canada says Canada GDP was flat in July and August is tracking higher

    Direct answer

    The soft July print and modest August rebound can sway expectations for Bank of Canada easing and move Canadian rates and the loonie.

    Original publisher
    Market Ontology
    Evidence through
    2026-09-29
    Published
    2026-10-20
    Revision
    1 · 2026-10-20

    Cite as: Market Ontology, “Statistics Canada says Canada GDP was flat in July and August is tracking higher”, revision 1, evidence through 2026-09-29. https://marketontology.com/market-events/2026-09-29/statistics-canada-says-canada-gdp-was-flat-in-july-and-august-is-tracking-higher-0e241c

    MACRO
    Statistics Canada says Canada GDP was flat in July and August is tracking higher
    The soft July print and modest August rebound can sway expectations for Bank of Canada easing and move Canadian rates and the loonie.
    CADUSDCGBEWC
    Impact
    80
    SEP 29
    SIG
    CADUSDCGBEWC
    Statistics Canada says Canada GDP was flat in July and August is tracking higher
    The soft July print and modest August rebound can sway expectations for Bank of Canada easing and move Canadian rates and the loonie.
    Impact
    The soft July print and modest August rebound can sway expectations for Bank of Canada easing and move Canadian rates and the loonie.
    Affected
    CADUSDCGBEWC
    Source facts

    How this development reaches the affected companies

    AssetExposure and channelDirectionEvidence
    CADUSDsluggish growth can raise expectations for easier BoC policy relative to the U.S.Down1-5dJuly GDP was unchanged and markets were already pricing policy uncertainty
    CGBslower growth can lift demand for Canada government bonds if traders add easing betsUp1-5dStatsCan said July GDP was flat
    EWCweaker domestic growth can weigh on Canadian equities exposed to the local cycleDown1-5dCanada's economy was unchanged in July before a modest August rebound estimate

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    What happened next

    AssetCallBase close+1 day+5 days+20 days
    EWCDownagreed58.93 2026-09-29-1.10%PendingPending

    Closing prices from stored daily bars; returns measured from the last close on or before the event date. Not a recommendation.

    Sources

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