Question
Traders trim odds of a Fed rate hike after weak September payrolls
Direct answer
Fed-sensitive rates and FX assets reacted to lower tightening expectations, while equities and gold benefited from the softer policy path.
Cite as: Market Ontology, “Traders trim odds of a Fed rate hike after weak September payrolls”, revision 1, evidence through 2026-10-02. https://marketontology.com/market-events/2026-10-02/traders-trim-odds-of-a-fed-rate-hike-after-weak-september-payrolls-79357f
Fed-sensitive rates and FX assets reacted to lower tightening expectations, while equities and gold benefited from the softer policy path.
| Asset | Call | Base close | +1 day | +5 days | +20 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GLD | Upagreed | 380.14 2026-10-02 | -0.16% | +1.17% | Pending |
| IWM | Upagreed | 281.52 2026-10-02 | +0.66% | Pending | Pending |
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