Intelligence Feed event · Geopolitical · 2026-10-16

    Iranian attacks cut Strait of Hormuz oil clearances to 68% of baseline, Kpler says

    Question

    Iranian attacks cut Strait of Hormuz oil clearances to 68% of baseline, Kpler says

    Direct answer

    Reduced throughput raises the probability of delayed Gulf exports, higher freight costs and tighter prompt crude availability.

    Original publisher
    Market Ontology
    Evidence through
    2026-10-16
    Published
    2026-10-20
    Revision
    1 · 2026-10-20

    Cite as: Market Ontology, “Iranian attacks cut Strait of Hormuz oil clearances to 68% of baseline, Kpler says”, revision 1, evidence through 2026-10-16. https://marketontology.com/market-events/2026-10-16/iranian-attacks-cut-strait-of-hormuz-oil-clearances-to-68-of-baseline-kpler-says-d7a210

    GEOPOLITICAL
    Iranian attacks cut Strait of Hormuz oil clearances to 68% of baseline, Kpler says
    Reduced throughput raises the probability of delayed Gulf exports, higher freight costs and tighter prompt crude availability.
    BZ=FCL=FTD3C
    Impact
    80
    OCT 16
    SIG
    BZ=FCL=FTD3C
    Iranian attacks cut Strait of Hormuz oil clearances to 68% of baseline, Kpler says
    Reduced throughput raises the probability of delayed Gulf exports, higher freight costs and tighter prompt crude availability.
    Impact
    Reduced throughput raises the probability of delayed Gulf exports, higher freight costs and tighter prompt crude availability.
    Affected
    BZ=FCL=FTD3C
    Source facts

    How this development reaches the affected companies

    AssetExposure and channelDirectionEvidence
    BZ=FLower observed Hormuz throughput increases the supply-disruption premium in BrentUpintradayKpler measured flows at 68% of the 17.15 million bpd baseline
    CL=FReduced Gulf flows increase concern over global crude availabilityUp1-5dUS crude futures were trading near $97 while Reuters cited sustained Hormuz supply uncertainty
    TD3CDisrupted Gulf exports increase demand for scarce tanker capacity and reroutingUp1-4wHormuz clearance fell materially below baseline amid attacks around the waterway

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    What happened next

    Price follow-up pending — no stored daily closes for these assets yet.

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    Sources

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