Economists surveyed by Reuters expect the Federal Reserve to hold rates at its October meeting
Question
Economists surveyed by Reuters expect the Federal Reserve to hold rates at its October meeting
Direct answer
The stronger consensus for a hold reduces the probability of an immediate hike, supporting front-end Treasuries while limiting dollar upside.
- Original publisher
- Market Ontology
- Evidence through
- 2026-10-20
- Published
- 2026-10-21
- Revision
- 1 · 2026-10-21
Cite as: Market Ontology, “Economists surveyed by Reuters expect the Federal Reserve to hold rates at its October meeting”, revision 1, evidence through 2026-10-20. https://marketontology.com/market-events/2026-10-20/economists-surveyed-by-reuters-expect-the-federal-reserve-to-hold-rates-at-its-o-48c096
How this development reaches the affected companies
| Asset | Exposure and channel | Direction | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| ZT=F | lower expected policy tightening supports two-year Treasury futures | Up1-5d | Ninety-four of 100 surveyed economists expected no rate change at the October meeting |
| DXY | reduced hike expectations narrow the expected US interest-rate advantage | Down1-5d | The survey showed a strong hold consensus and market-implied hike odds fell |
Does this development affect your holdings?
Enter your holdings to check them against this and other recent developments, review the decision that matters most, then set a monitor.
Review your initial audit before choosing ongoing portfolio scanning at $79/month.
What happened next
Price follow-up pending — no stored daily closes for these assets yet.
Closing prices from stored daily bars; returns measured from the last close on or before the event date. Not a recommendation.
Sources
Related
- 2026-10-21Secretary of State Marco Rubio says a peace deal with Iran is extremely difficult and economic pressure will continueBRENT CRUDE FUTURES DXY GLD
- 2026-10-21Iran says it will keep the Strait of Hormuz closed until Washington accepts its conditionsBZ=F DXY JKM
- 2026-10-21US Secretary of State Marco Rubio says a peace deal with Iran is extremely difficult and vows continued economic pressure over Hormuz shippingBRENT CRUDE DXY XAUUSD
- 2026-10-20Iran prolongs talks with the United States as Tehran keeps its Strait of Hormuz reopening proposal conditional on sanctions reliefBZ=F DXY ZIM
- 2026-10-20Qatar says Iran-US negotiations continue as Doha and Pakistan present a compromise proposalBRN DXY
- 2026-10-20Iran prolongs US talks as Tehran keeps seven-day Hormuz reopening proposal on the tableBZ=F DXY ZIM
- 2026-10-20Qatar's Foreign Ministry says US-Iran negotiations continue despite rising tensionsBRENT CRUDE DXY GOLD
- 2026-10-20Iranian First Vice President Mohammad Reza Aref says Tehran must assert control of the Strait of HormuzBRN DXY GC
See today's live cards
Public pages are published 24 hours after the product shows them. Desk shows every catalyst, event and causal reading as it happens, mapped to your holdings.