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    Intelligence Feed event · Macro · 2026-11-02

    European Central Bank keeps its deposit rate at 2.5% and signals a December hike

    Question

    European Central Bank keeps its deposit rate at 2.5% and signals a December hike

    Direct answer

    A December hike signal supports the euro and euro-area front-end rates while weighing on duration-sensitive assets.

    Original publisher
    Market Ontology
    Evidence through
    2026-11-02
    Published
    2026-11-02
    Revision
    1 · 2026-11-02

    Cite as: Market Ontology, “European Central Bank keeps its deposit rate at 2.5% and signals a December hike”, revision 1, evidence through 2026-11-02. https://marketontology.com/market-events/2026-11-02/european-central-bank-keeps-its-deposit-rate-at-2-5-and-signals-a-december-hike-52cd12

    MACRO
    European Central Bank keeps its deposit rate at 2.5% and signals a December hike
    A December hike signal supports the euro and euro-area front-end rates while weighing on duration-sensitive assets.
    EURUSDRX1!
    Impact
    79
    NOV 2
    SIG
    EURUSDRX1!
    European Central Bank keeps its deposit rate at 2.5% and signals a December hike
    A December hike signal supports the euro and euro-area front-end rates while weighing on duration-sensitive assets.
    Impact
    A December hike signal supports the euro and euro-area front-end rates while weighing on duration-sensitive assets.
    Affected
    EURUSDRX1!

    How this development reaches the affected companies

    AssetExposure and channelDirectionEvidence
    EURUSDA higher expected ECB policy path increases the euro-area rate differential against the dollar.Up1-5dThe ECB kept the deposit rate at 2.5% and signaled a likely December hike.
    RX1!Higher expected policy rates pressure euro-area government-bond futures.Down1-5dECB officials indicated they were firmly on track for a December hike.

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    What happened next

    Price follow-up pending — no stored daily closes for these assets yet.

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    Sources

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