DI1F27 catalysts
Catalysts and events linked to DI1F27, newest first.
DI1F27 stock catalysts and risks
Latest published review: 2026-10-20
| Development | Transmission channel | Evidence | Condition to watch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil heads into a closely fought presidential runoff scheduled for October 25 2026-10-20 · Watch | the election outcome may change expectations for fiscal policy and interest rates | fiscal policy is identified as a principal constraint for the next government | Not recorded |
| Brazilian Central Bank reports August economic activity rose 0.3% from July 2026-10-17 · Watch | The data are consistent with gradual cooling but do not materially alter the already restrictive policy outlook. | The central bank said slower activity is needed for inflation to converge to its 3% target, while Selic remains 13.75%. | Not recorded |
| Brazil's economic activity rises 0.3% in August, matching economists' forecast 2026-10-17 · Up | firmer growth can keep policy rates higher for longer | the August increase matched the median economist forecast | Not recorded |
| Brazil’s central bank reports economic activity rose 0.3% in August 2026-10-16 · Watch | The release provides no meaningful repricing impulse because growth matched consensus | August activity increased 0.3% month on month against a 0.3% forecast | Not recorded |
| Brazil economists lower their 2026 year-end Selic forecast to 13.25% 2026-10-13 · Down | Lower expected Selic rates reduce the implied forward interest rate | Economists lowered the year-end 2026 Selic forecast to 13.25% | Not recorded |
| Brazilian polling puts Senator Flávio Bolsonaro ahead of President Lula before the October 25 runoff 2026-10-11 · Down | A stronger Bolsonaro position can reduce near-term fiscal-risk premia embedded in local rates | Brazilian equities and the real rallied after post-election polling showed Bolsonaro leading | Not recorded |
| Brazilian inflation accelerated above expectations in September as food and services prices broadened 2026-10-11 · Up | Higher inflation and persistent services pressure increase expected policy rates | September inflation accelerated more than expected and exceeded the target range | Not recorded |
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DateCardAvg 5d
- 2026-10-20Brazil heads into a closely fought presidential runoff scheduled for October 25BRLUSD DI1F27 EWZ
- 2026-10-17Brazil's economic activity rises 0.3% in August, matching economists' forecastBRL DI1F27 EWZ
- 2026-10-17Brazilian Central Bank reports August economic activity rose 0.3% from JulyBRL/USD DI1F27 EWZ
- 2026-10-16Brazil’s central bank reports economic activity rose 0.3% in AugustBRL/USD DI1F27
- 2026-10-13Brazil economists lower their 2026 year-end Selic forecast to 13.25%BRL/USD BZFUT DI1F27
- 2026-10-11Brazilian polling puts Senator Flávio Bolsonaro ahead of President Lula before the October 25 runoffBRLUSD DI1F27 EWZ
- 2026-10-11Brazilian inflation accelerated above expectations in September as food and services prices broadenedBRLUSD DI1F27 IBOV
- 2026-10-11Brazilian polling puts Senator Flávio Bolsonaro ahead of President Lula before the October 25 runoffBRLUSD DI1F27 EWZ
- 2026-10-11Brazilian inflation accelerated above expectations in September as food and services prices broadenedBRLUSD DI1F27 IBOV
- 2026-08-03Brazil’s central bank Copom cuts Selic rate 25bp to 14.25% amid election-year inflation ri → Bullish DI1F27DI1F27
- 2026-08-03Brazil’s central bank Copom cuts Selic rate 25bp to 14.25% amid election-year inflation risksDI1F27 IBOV
- 2026-08-03Brazil statistics agency reports IPCA-15 mid-July inflation slowing to 0.06% and 4.52% year-on-yearDI1F27 EWZ USD/BRL-3.38%
- 2026-07-31Brazil labor market firms as unemployment rate edges downBOVESPA DI1F27 USD/BRL
- 2026-07-31Brazil wholesale inflation index IGP-M posts deeper-than-expected July deflationDI1F27 EWZ USD/BRL-3.57%
- 2026-07-30Brazil June fiscal figures eyed as key test for debt trajectory and risk premiaDI1F27 IBOV USDBRL
- 2026-07-30Soft mid‑July IPCA‑15 inflation cements expectations for further BCB Selic cut next weekDI1F27 IBOV USDBRL
- 2026-07-29Banco Central do Brasil cuts Selic rate 25bp to 14.25% amid tougher inflation outlookDI1F27 IBOV USD/BRL
- 2026-07-28Brazil mid-month IPCA-15 inflation release set to drive Selic-cut oddsBRLUSD DI1F27 IBOV
- 2026-07-28Brazilian Selic futures price knife-edge August cut contingent on today’s inflation dataBBDC4 BRLUSD DI1F27
- 2026-07-27Brazil consumer confidence edges lower ahead of key IPCA-15 inflation printBOVESPA DI1F27 DI1F28 USD/BRL
- 2026-07-14Brazil markets focus on August Copom meeting as Selic cut debate intensifiesDI1F27 IBOV USD/BRL
- 2026-07-13Upcoming Brazil services, retail sales and IBC-Br prints seen as critical inputs for August CopomDI1F27 ILF USD/BRL
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