InflationState: Sticky HighConfidence Medium
Confirmed by
- PCE Deflator YoY (PCEPILFE)
- Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast (null)
Invalidated by
- Crude Oil WTI (DCOILWTICO)
- Initial Claims (ICSA)
Causal implications · Inflation · 2026-08-17
Sticky Inflation Hardens Yield Floor; Fed Reaction Function Under Stress
No verifiable public source recorded for this card.
Earlier readings
- 2026-10-20Sticky Inflation at $100+ Oil Forces Curve Bear-Steepening Risk
- 2026-10-19Inflation persistence forces 'higher-for-longer' yields, challenging growth valuations.
- 2026-10-16Sticky Inflation Sustains Upward Pressure on Long-End Yields and Real USD
- 2026-10-15Sticky Inflation Sustains Upward Pressure on Term Premiums and Dollar Carry.
- 2026-10-14Sticky Core PCE at 3% and $96 Oil Enforce Restrictive Policy Floor.
- 2026-10-13Sticky inflation maintains upward pressure on long-end yields and US dollar strength.
- 2026-10-05Structural stickiness amid positive output gaps and energy-driven cost-push pressures.
- 2026-10-02Sticky inflation at $96 oil drives terminal rate repricing and margin pressure.
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