InflationState: Sticky HighConfidence Medium
Confirmed by
- Core PCE Price Index MoM (PCEPILFE)
- 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate (T10YIE)
Invalidated by
- Real M2 Money Stock (M2REAL)
- ISM Services Prices Paid (ISM/MAN_PRICES)
Causal implications · Inflation · 2026-09-11
Sticky inflation sustained by energy costs and import pass-through despite 3.6% FFR.
No verifiable public source recorded for this card.
Earlier readings
- 2026-10-20Sticky Inflation at $100+ Oil Forces Curve Bear-Steepening Risk
- 2026-10-19Inflation persistence forces 'higher-for-longer' yields, challenging growth valuations.
- 2026-10-16Sticky Inflation Sustains Upward Pressure on Long-End Yields and Real USD
- 2026-10-15Sticky Inflation Sustains Upward Pressure on Term Premiums and Dollar Carry.
- 2026-10-14Sticky Core PCE at 3% and $96 Oil Enforce Restrictive Policy Floor.
- 2026-10-13Sticky inflation maintains upward pressure on long-end yields and US dollar strength.
- 2026-10-05Structural stickiness amid positive output gaps and energy-driven cost-push pressures.
- 2026-10-02Sticky inflation at $96 oil drives terminal rate repricing and margin pressure.
See today's live cards
Public pages are published 24 hours after the product shows them. Desk shows every catalyst, event and causal reading as it happens, mapped to your holdings.