Event-driven workflow

From event to affected assets to expression - in one workflow

The event-driven workflow has four stages: see the event, identify the affected assets, trace the transmission path through markets, and decide an expression. Most tools stop at stage one. Market Ontology runs the full chain: a live event card with magnitude and confidence, an affected-asset panel ranked by exposure, a transmission map across rates, credit, FX, and commodities, and an options context layer for sizing the expression.

  • Event card - Headline, magnitude, location, confidence, and timestamp - sourced from live feeds.
  • Affected assets - Ranked by exposure: equities, sectors, commodities, FX, sovereign debt.
  • Transmission path - How the move propagates through rates, breakevens, credit, and volatility.
  • Expression context - IV rank, skew, OI, and historical reaction - for sizing options or futures.

Why event-driven trading is hard without the chain

A headline arrives. You think: "this matters." Then you spend the next 20 minutes piecing together which equities are exposed, what the curve is doing, whether the move is already priced, and whether options markets agree. By the time you have a view, the move is gone.

The event-to-exposure workflow exists to compress that chain.

How the workflow runs

  1. Detect. The live intelligence feed surfaces events as they happen, classified by type (geopolitical, policy, macro release, corporate).
  2. Map. Each event has an affected-asset panel - ranked by direct exposure (revenue concentration, supply dependency, currency mix) and indirect exposure (transmission through rates, credit, or commodities).
  3. Trace. The transmission view shows how the shock propagates: oil → breakevens → real yields → duration-sensitive equities, for example.
  4. Express. Options context shows current IV rank, skew, OI concentration, and how the underlying has historically reacted to similar events.

Examples

  • A Hormuz disruption maps to crude, energy equities, refiners, airlines (negative), oil-exporting EM FX, and breakevens.
  • An FOMC surprise maps to the front end of the curve, dollar pairs, growth-versus-value rotation, and credit spreads.
  • A semiconductor sanction maps to specific names by geographic revenue, suppliers, and customers - not just the headline ticker.

Who uses it

Event-driven traders, macro PMs, and risk teams use the workflow to compress reaction time. The output is not a recommendation - it is a structured view of the consequences.

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