Rank live catalysts by expected asset impact, direction, timeframe, confidence, dislocation, and how much is already priced.
See Opportunity Map →Turn market moving events into asset impact, valuation changes, and portfolio decisions.
Market Ontology traces macro, policy, geopolitical, capital markets, and company events through rates, FX, credit, commodities, equities, and individual tickers. It shows what changed, what is exposed, what is already priced, and what to evaluate next.
OPPORTUNITY MAPLIVE · 8 OF 142
CATALYSTASSETDIRHORIZONCONFDISLOCPRICED
Fed Sept dot plot revisionUST 2YBULL1W786442%
OPEC+ unplanned cut signalBRENTBULL2W715835%
Section 232 tariff expansionXMEBULL1M665228%
Taiwan strait shipping reroutingTSMBEAR2W624941%
EU AI Act Annex IV finalizationASMLWATCH1M583322%
BoJ JGB yield curve adjustmentUSDJPYBEAR1W746147%
China property bond rolloverHYGBEAR2W604431%
US natgas storage surpriseUNGBULL1W695539%
One terminal for the research that follows a market event.
Most platforms stop at data, headlines, or charts. Market Ontology carries each development into the assets, assumptions, risks, and decisions it changes.
Open an affected ticker and inspect active drivers, recent events, exposed line items, market pressure, and source evidence.
See Ticker Workspace →Trace market developments into revenue, margins, WACC, capex, terminal multiples, interest expense, share count, and net debt.
See Valuation Finder →Map bills, sanctions, regulation, agency action, elections, war risk, and supply chokepoints into affected sectors and tickers.
See Policy Pipeline →Track IPOs, follow ons, M&A, tenders, refinancings, maturities, sponsors, issuance windows, and valuation impact.
See Capital Markets →Test transmission paths, regime changes, portfolio exposure, assumptions, risks, and invalidation conditions.
See Scenario Lab →See the full event to decision workflow.
Start with the development. Follow its transmission through markets. Continue directly into the research surface it changes.
OPPORTUNITY MAPLIVE · 8 OF 142
CATALYSTASSETDIRHORIZONCONFDISLOCPRICED
Fed Sept dot plot revisionUST 2YBULL1W786442%
OPEC+ unplanned cut signalBRENTBULL2W715835%
Section 232 tariff expansionXMEBULL1M665228%
Taiwan strait shipping reroutingTSMBEAR2W624941%
EU AI Act Annex IV finalizationASMLWATCH1M583322%
BoJ JGB yield curve adjustmentUSDJPYBEAR1W746147%
China property bond rolloverHYGBEAR2W604431%
US natgas storage surpriseUNGBULL1W695539%
TRANSMISSION PATH5 STEP CHAIN · HORIZON 1W
01FED 25BP CUT
02UST 2Y -8BP
03DXY -0.4%
04BRENT +1.2%
05XLE +0.9%
06VIX -0.6
MECHANISM
Front end repricing eases DXY, lifts dollar denominated commodities, and rebuilds energy equity beta with vol compression at the index level.
TICKER WORKSPACE · XOM112.40 +1.84 +1.66%
ACTIVE DRIVERS
- Rate sensitivityBULL 72
- Tariff exposureBEAR 58
- Capex cycleBULL 64
- FX translationBEAR 41
AFFECTED LINE ITEMS
- REVUpstream realizations +3.1%
- MARGINDownstream crack +120bp
- CAPEX2026 guide unchanged
- SHARE CTBuyback pace held
VALUATION FINDER · XOMFAIR 128.40 · +14.2% UPSIDE
REVENUE+2.4%BULL
MARGINS+85bpBULL
WACC-12bpBULL
CAPEX+1.0%BEAR
TERMINAL MULTIPLE9.4x → 9.8xBULL
INTEREST EXPENSE-3.1%BULL
NET DEBTUnchangedFLAT
SHARE COUNT-0.8%BULL
SCENARIO LAB3 SCENARIOS · PORTFOLIO ENERGY OW
BASE55% PROB+2.4% port
STRESS30% PROB-3.1% port
TAIL15% PROB-7.4% port
EVALUATE NEXT
Trim XLE 50bp into strength, add HYG short overlay, set BRENT 78 invalidation alert.
The five questions behind every catalyst.
Q01
WHAT CHANGED?
Macro data, central bank shifts, policy, geopolitics, capital markets, commodities, corporate events, and options signals.
Q02
WHAT GETS HIT?
Assets, ETFs, commodities, currencies, rates, sectors, companies, and portfolio holdings.
Q03
WHICH WAY, AND FOR HOW LONG?
Bullish, bearish, or watch, with timeframe, confidence, and causal mechanism.
Q04
WHAT IS ALREADY PRICED?
Expected impact compared with current market pricing, implied assumptions, and prevailing positioning.
Q05
WHAT SHOULD BE EVALUATED NEXT?
A trade, hedge, allocation move, valuation change, scenario test, risk review, or monitoring action.
Every conclusion remains attached to its evidence.
Each market impact record includes the mechanism, source facts, affected assets, risks, invalidation conditions, and fields to monitor. The reasoning can be inspected, challenged, and updated.
WHY IT MATTERS
Front end repricing changes discount rates and oil sensitivity across the energy complex.
CAUSAL PATH
Policy → rates → DXY → BRENT → XLE → VIX
AFFECTED ASSETS
BRENT WTI XOM CVX XLE OIH RUB CAD HYG
SOURCE FACTS
FOMC statement, dot plot revision, OPEC+ technical committee note, Reuters wire 14:22 UTC.
RISKS
Compliance slippage, Saudi public denial, US strategic reserve release.
INVALIDATION
Saudi denial within 48h, or compliance below 70% in November survey.
MONITOR
Crude timespreads, refiner cracks, USDRUB, HY energy spreads.
LAST UPDATED
14M AGO
Stop rebuilding the market from scratch.
FRAGMENTED RESEARCH
- News organized by source
- Separate macro, policy, ticker, options, and portfolio tools
- Manual event to asset mapping
- Spreadsheet based assumption tracking
- Research rationale lost across tabs and messages
- Repeated reconstruction every time conditions change
MARKET ONTOLOGY
- Developments ranked by market consequence
- One connected event to decision workflow
- Structured transmission paths
- Persistent market impact records
- Source evidence attached to every conclusion
- The next research surface opens from the catalyst itself
Built for decisions that cross markets.
Rank the catalysts that matter, identify exposed holdings, review portfolio risk, and evaluate hedges or allocation moves.
Move from market development to ticker drivers, affected line items, assumptions, valuation changes, and source evidence.
Trace regime, rates, FX, credit, commodity, policy, and geopolitical shifts across asset classes.
Replace fragmented tabs, feeds, spreadsheets, and manual synthesis with one daily research workflow.
Cross asset context in one analytical surface.
MACRO REGIMES
RATES
FX
CREDIT
COMMODITIES
EQUITIES
ETFs
OPTIONS
POLICY
GEOPOLITICS
CAPITAL MARKETS
VALUATION
PORTFOLIO SCENARIOS
Start with the full research workflow.
ACTIVE
$399/ MONTH
For investors and analysts making frequent multi asset decisions.
+Opportunity Map
+Ticker Workspace
+Valuation Finder
+Policy Pipeline
+Capital Markets
+Scenario Lab
+Options intelligence
+Cross asset transmission
+Portfolio and risk workflows
+Source backed market impact records
+Daily intelligence brief
Questions before you start.
WHAT DOES ACTIVE INCLUDE?
Active includes the full research workflow: Opportunity Map, Ticker Workspace, Valuation Finder, Policy Pipeline, Capital Markets, Scenario Lab, options intelligence, and cross asset transmission.
IS MARKET ONTOLOGY PERSONALIZED INVESTMENT ADVICE?
No. Market Ontology is research software. It provides structured market analysis, source evidence, causal mechanisms, scenario tools, and decisions to evaluate.
DOES MARKET ONTOLOGY REPLACE EVERY MARKET DATA OR EXECUTION TERMINAL?
No. It is the research layer between market developments and asset, valuation, risk, and portfolio decisions. It is designed to replace fragmented synthesis, not every execution venue or raw data feed.
HOW DOES BILLING WORK?
Active is $399 per month, billed today and each month after. Manage or end your subscription from Settings before the next monthly renewal.
Open the terminal. See what changed. Continue the work.
Power my profitsFULL ACTIVE RESEARCH WORKFLOW · $399 / MONTH · BILLED TODAY