RatesU.S. TreasuryDaily

5-Year Real Yield (5Y TIPS)

What is 5-Year Real Yield (5Y TIPS)?

The 5-Year Real Yield is the yield on the 5-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Security, representing the inflation-adjusted real interest rate over a 5-year horizon.

Why it matters

The 5Y real yield is the most sensitive part of the real curve to Fed policy expectations. Rising real yields pressure long-duration assets, gold, and growth equities; falling real yields support them.

How to read prints

When it rises

Real funding costs rising; pressures duration, growth, gold.

When it falls

Real costs falling; supports duration, growth, gold.

Frequently asked

What is a 5-year real yield?
The yield on a 5-year TIPS, which compensates investors for inflation by adjusting principal with realized CPI. It represents the markets read on the inflation-adjusted real interest rate.
Why watch the 5Y real yield specifically?
It sits at the intersection of the Fed-policy horizon (2-3 years) and the long-duration horizon (10+ years), making it the most informative for cross-asset positioning.
How do real yields drive gold?
Gold has no yield. When real yields rise, the opportunity cost of holding gold rises and gold tends to fall (correlation typically -0.6 to -0.8).
What is the difference between 5Y real yield and 5Y nominal yield?
Nominal includes expected inflation. 5Y nominal - 5Y real = 5Y breakeven, the markets implied average CPI over 5 years.

Track it on Market Ontology

Monitor 5-Year Real Yield (5Y TIPS) in real time on Macro Regime, alongside regime classification, transmission mapping, and cross-asset context.

SourceU.S. Treasury
FrequencyDaily
CategoryRates
FRED SeriesDFII5
Unit%
Related ModuleMacro Regime

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