Central Bank catalysts

Central Bank catalysts and events, newest first.

DateCardAvg 5d

2026-09-18Fed hikes policy rate 25bp to 3.75%-4.00%; 10Y Treasury yield approaches 5%QQQ SHY+1.57%
2026-09-18Fed Raises Target Rate 25bp to 3.75-4.00% as 10Y Yields Approach 5.0%DGS10 QQQ+3.19%
2026-09-1810-year Treasury yield trades near 5% following Fed rate hike to 3.75%-4.00%DGS10 KO SHY-0.27%
2026-09-18Fed hikes target rate 25 bps to 3.75%-4.00% as 10-year yields near 5.00%DGS10 QQQ SHY+1.57%
2026-09-18Fed Lifts Target Rate 25 bps to 3.75%-4.00% with 87% Odds of Further HikesDGS10 SHY-0.04%
2026-09-18Fed hikes rates 25 bps to 3.75%-4.00%; futures price 87% odds of follow-up moveDGS10 QQQ+3.19%
2026-09-17Fed Rate-Hike Odds Reach 90% Following 3.4% August CPI PrintDGS2 SPY+0.60%
2026-09-16Fed decision today as 10-year Treasury yield reaches 5.041% on inflation shockDGS10 QQQ SPX+5.18%
2026-09-1510-Year Treasury Yield Reaches 5.00% Ahead of September 16 FOMC DecisionDGS10 NFLX NVDA+7.87%
2026-09-15Fed Rate Decision Looms as Tariff Inflation and War Pressures Cloud Policy OutlookDGS10 ONEQ
2026-09-15FOMC Rate Decision Approaches as Multi-Front Cost Pressures Elevate YieldsDGS10 SPY+2.11%
2026-09-09Bitcoin Slides to $78,475 as Fed Rate Hike Odds Cross 60%IBIT
2026-09-09Bitcoin Pulls Back to $78,475 as Market Implied Fed Rate Hike Probability Tops 60%IBIT
2026-09-09Fed Rate Hike Odds Cross 60% Threshold Pressuring Risk AssetsDXY GLD TLT-1.96%
2026-09-07Fed Hike Probability Climbs to 60.4% as Warsh Targets 4.2% InflationAGNC CME ONEQ-0.30%
2026-09-07FOMC September rate hike odds rise to 60% as inflation holds at 4.2%DGS2 QQQ-1.36%
2026-09-06Fed Chair Signals Strict Inflation Pace Requirement Leaving Rate Hikes PossibleONEQ
2026-09-06Fed Chair Warsh Signals Stricter Inflation Stance Requiring Rapid DisinflationONEQ
2026-09-06Fed Chair Warsh Demands Faster Inflation Deceleration, Raising Hawkish Policy RiskDGS10 MSFT NVDA-8.42%
2026-09-06Fed Chair Signals Disinflation Pace Must Accelerate to Prevent Rate IncreasesDGS2 ONEQ
2026-09-06Fed Signals Stricter Speed Requirement for Disinflation Ahead of FOMCDGS10 ONEQ
2026-09-04Bitcoin reclaims $81,000 as Fed Governor Waller signals support for rate pauseIBIT
2026-09-04Waller hold signal lifts Bitcoin to $81,491.82HOOD IBIT-6.37%
2026-09-04Fed Governor Waller Signals Rate Pause Supporting Digital AssetsBTC/USD IBIT
2026-08-30Gold Miners Decline as Jackson Hole Remarks Fuel Speculation of Fed Policy TighteningGORO SSRM
2026-08-30Hawkish Fed Rhetoric at Jackson Hole Sinks Precious Metals and Mining EquitiesGORO SSRM
2026-08-30Precious Metals and Miners Slide Following Hawkish Jackson Hole Remarks by Fed Chair WarshDGS10 SSRM
2026-08-30Hawkish Warsh Jackson Hole Remarks Pressure Precious MetalsGORO SSRM
2026-08-30Precious Metals and Miners Slide After Fed Chair Warsh Signals Inflation VigilanceGORO
2026-08-30Fed Chair Warsh Signals Rate Hike Risk at Jackson Hole, Pressuring Precious MetalsDGS10 GORO SSRM
2026-08-30Gold Miners Fall as Fed Jackson Hole Speech Flags Inflation and Rate RisksGLD GORO SSRM-0.52%
2026-08-29Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivers hawkish Jackson Hole address, warning of inflation risksCME SOXX SSRM+0.32%
2026-08-29Warsh Signals 2026 Rate Hikes Possible as Fed Warns Inflation Progress StalledDXY GLD SPY TLT-0.41%
2026-08-29Fed Chair Warsh Signals Rate Cuts Unlikely in 2026 and Keeps Hikes on TableDGS10 QQQ SSRM+0.35%
2026-08-29Warsh at Jackson Hole: 2026 cuts unlikely; hikes remain possibleDXY GLD SPY TLT-0.41%
2026-08-20Fed Chair Warsh Commits to Strict 2% Target, Ending 'Fed Put'MSFT O+12.47%
2026-08-20Fed Chair Warsh Commits to Strict 2% Target, Ending 'Fed Put'O
2026-08-20Fed Chair Warsh Rejects Soft Inflation Targets, Commits to Strict 2%MSFT TLT+6.71%
2026-08-20Fed Chair Warsh Ends 'Fed Put' with Strict 2% Inflation TargetO
2026-08-20Fed Chair Warsh Commits to Strict 2% Target, Rejects Soft GuidanceO
2026-08-19Fed Chair Warsh: 'Only a Target, and It's 2%,' Rejects Soft Inflation GoalCEG DGS10
2026-08-19Fed Chair Warsh Rejects Soft Inflation Goals, Commits to Strict 2% TargetJPM-1.60%
2026-08-19Fed Chair Warsh Signals End of 'Fed Put' With Strict 2% TargetO
2026-08-19Fed Chair Warsh Rejects Soft Inflation Goal, Commits to Strict 2% TargetO
2026-08-14September Rate Hike Odds Plunge to 44% After July Jobs MissDGS10
2026-08-14September Rate Hike Odds Plunge to 44% After Weak Jobs ReportDGS2
2026-08-13September Rate Hike Odds Plunge to 44% After July Jobs MissCME+1.37%
2026-08-13Fed September Hike Odds Drop to 44% After Disappointing July Jobs ReportDXY TLT-0.30%
2026-08-13September Rate Hike Odds Plunge to 44% After Jobs MissDGS2
2026-08-13September Fed Hike Odds Drop to 44% After Disappointing July Jobs ReportDGS2

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