Investment case
Autoliv, Inc.
ALV · 2 developments mapped · last assessed 2026-09-21
Market Ontology has mapped 2 macro, policy, and market developments to Autoliv, Inc. since 2026-09-21. Each one is traced from the driver to the valuation assumption it moves, and the valuation below is run on the same engine the subscription uses.
Valuation
No validated run has been published for ALV yet, so no modelled value is shown. The ALV valuation is in the public catch-up queue.
Subscribers do not wait for the weekly cycle: they run ALV on demand, against live prices and the latest filings, and change any assumption the developments below move.
Filed financials
Current case
- Strongest support
Ayvens Unveils 2029 Plan Targeting 14-16% ROTE and ~12.5% CET1 Ratio
Increased demand for new vehicles, particularly LCVs, could indirectly benefit automotive safety suppliers.
· Moves automotive production volumes
- Open question
Ayvens targets 14%-16% ROTE and 12.5% CET1 ratio in 2029 strategic roadmap
Increased demand for new vehicles from fleet operators, indirectly boosting demand for automotive safety components.
· Moves global light vehicle production volumes
What changed, by assumption
- 2026-09-21Ayvens Unveils 2029 Plan Targeting 14-16% ROTE and ~12.5% CET1 Ratio
- 2026-09-21Ayvens targets 14%-16% ROTE and 12.5% CET1 ratio in 2029 strategic roadmap
Assumption changes
Full ledger →| Date | Assumption | Direction | Why | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Margin | Bullish | Company reiterated full year 2026 guidance for adjusted operating margin of around 10.5-11% despite raw material headwinds. | 0.90 |
| 2026-07-17 | Margin | Bullish | Company expects adjusted operating margin to improve to 10.5-11% for FY2026 driven by cost compensation and mitigation initiatives. | 0.80 |
| 2026-07-17 | Share count | Bearish | Repurchase reduces shares outstanding. | 0.70 |
| 2026-06-30 | Net debt | Bearish | Liability-management transactions often reduce gross debt or push maturities out. | 0.70 |
| 2026-06-30 | Interest expense | Bearish | Tender/exchange extends maturity profile and typically lowers near-term interest expense. | 0.70 |
Event impact log
Full ledger →| Date | Mechanism | Direction | Horizon | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Ayvens Unveils 2029 Plan Targeting 14-16% ROTE and ~12.5% CET1 Ratio | Bullish | 1-3m | 0.30 |
| 2026-09-21 | Ayvens targets 14%-16% ROTE and 12.5% CET1 ratio in 2029 strategic roadmap | Bullish | 3-12m | 0.30 |