Impact ledger
Main Street Capital Corporation (MAIN)
9 events mapped to this ticker since 2026-06-17.
Assumption changes
| Date | Assumption | Direction | Magnitude | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | multiple | Bearish | — | 0.70 |
| 2026-07-16 | share_count | Bullish | — | 0.70 |
Event impact log
| Date | Event | Channel | Direction | Horizon | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Event | Direct financial performance exceeding expectations, leading to positive investor sentiment and potential re-rating. | Bullish | 1-5d | 0.80 |
| 2026-07-08 | Event | Peer performance and industry sentiment. GBDC's results may signal trends in middle-market lending. | watch | 1-5d | 0.35 |
| 2026-07-02 | Event | Indirect indicator of the health and activity within the Business Development Company (BDC) and private credit sector. | watch | 1-3m | 0.30 |
| 2026-07-01 | Event | Indirect competitive pressure or market sentiment changes within the Business Development Company (BDC) and private credit space. | watch | 1-3m | 0.10 |
| 2026-06-30 | Event | Similar to ARCC, MAIN, as a publicly traded BDC, could experience indirect effects from any negative sentiment or increased perceived risk in the private credit market stemming from Antares's disclosure, especially if the 'Other Events' hint at broader industry challenges. | watch | 1-3m | 0.25 |
| 2026-06-25 | Event | Similar to ARCC, MAIN is a BDC that provides private debt and equity financing. While focused on the lower middle market, broader trends in private credit, including new material agreements by other funds, can indirectly affect the competitive landscape and deal sourcing. | watch | 1-3m | 0.30 |
| 2026-06-22 | Event | Similar to ARCC, MAIN operates in the BDC space. While its investor base and strategy might differ, a notable redemption event in a peer BDC like ADS could prompt investors to review their allocations across the BDC sector. This could lead to minor, indirect pressure on MAIN's share price or investo | watch | 1-3m | 0.10 |
| 2026-06-19 | Event | Similar to ARCC, this event could indicate a generally favorable environment for BDC funding, potentially benefiting MAIN's future capital raising or refinancing activities. | watch | 1-3m | 0.20 |
| 2026-06-17 | Event | Similar to ARCC, this event could prompt a re-evaluation by investors of advisory agreements and governance practices across the BDC sector, potentially influencing investor sentiment or expectations for other BDCs. | watch | 3-12m | 0.20 |
This ledger is regenerated from Market Ontology's public event pipeline. For live alerts on new assumption changes for MAIN, start a trial or view the MAIN entity page.