Investment case
Ferrari N.V.
RACE · 5 developments mapped · last assessed 2026-09-23
Market Ontology has mapped 5 macro, policy, and market developments to Ferrari N.V. since 2026-09-08. Each one is traced from the driver to the valuation assumption it moves, and the valuation below is run on the same engine the subscription uses.
Valuation
No validated run has been published for RACE yet, so no modelled value is shown. The RACE valuation is in the public catch-up queue.
Subscribers do not wait for the weekly cycle: they run RACE on demand, against live prices and the latest filings, and change any assumption the developments below move.
Filed financials
Current case
- Strongest support
Ferrari Deploys €523.4M Across Third Tranche of €3.5B Repurchase Program
Direct reduction in share count, signaling management confidence and returning capital to shareholders.
· Moves earnings per share (eps), free cash flow per share (fcfps), return on equity (roe)
- Open question
Exor Launches €500M Share Buyback Program With €125M First Tranche by November 2026
Exor is a significant shareholder in Ferrari. Similar to Stellantis, the buyback signals Exor's capital allocation priorities and potentially its view on the value of its underlying assets, including RACE. A reduction in Exor's share capital could, in theory, make its remaining assets (like RACE sta
· Assumption not yet resolved
What changed, by assumption
- 2026-09-08Ferrari Deploys €523.4M Across Third Tranche of €3.5B Repurchase Program
- 2026-09-23Exor Initiates EUR 500 Million Share Buyback with EUR 125 Million Initial Tranche
- 2026-09-23Exor Launches €500M Share Repurchase Program
- 2026-09-17Ferrari Signs Strategic Technology Partnership With Rakuten for 2027
- 2026-09-23Exor Launches €500M Share Buyback Program With €125M First Tranche by November 2026
Event impact log
Full ledger →| Date | Mechanism | Direction | Horizon | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Exor Initiates EUR 500 Million Share Buyback with EUR 125 Million Initial Tranche | Bullish | 1-3m | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-23 | Exor Launches €500M Share Repurchase Program | Bullish | 1-3m | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-23 | Exor Launches €500M Share Buyback Program With €125M First Tranche by November 2026 | watch | 1-3m | 0.30 |
| 2026-09-17 | Ferrari Signs Strategic Technology Partnership With Rakuten for 2027 | Bullish | 1-5y | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-08 | Ferrari Deploys €523.4M Across Third Tranche of €3.5B Repurchase Program | Bullish | 1-3m | 0.70 |