Investment case
Texas Instruments Inc.
TXN · 19 developments mapped · last assessed 2026-09-21
Market Ontology has mapped 19 macro, policy, and market developments to Texas Instruments Inc. since 2026-08-11. Each one is traced from the driver to the valuation assumption it moves, and the valuation below is run on the same engine the subscription uses.
Valuation
No validated run has been published for TXN yet, so no modelled value is shown. The TXN valuation is in the public catch-up queue.
Subscribers do not wait for the weekly cycle: they run TXN on demand, against live prices and the latest filings, and change any assumption the developments below move.
Filed financials
Current case
- Strongest support
Texas Instruments rises 3.3% after 7% dividend hike and doubling of data center revenue
Direct financial performance and capital allocation policy
· Moves revenue growth rate (data center segment), dividend growth rate, payout ratio
- Open question
SOXX ETF Outperforms SMH by 16.5% YTD on Lower Concentration Risk
Similar to INTC, TXN is a component of both ETFs. A shift towards SOXX, which emphasizes broader diversification, could offer relative support for TXN's stock, potentially offsetting some of the broader negative sentiment towards concentrated holdings.
· Moves market demand for shares, relative sector positioning
What changed, by assumption
- 2026-09-21Texas Instruments rises 3.3% after 7% dividend hike and doubling of data center revenue
- 2026-09-21Texas Instruments lifts dividend 7% as Q2 data center analog revenue doubles
- 2026-09-21Texas Instruments Q2 revenue rises 23% YoY as data center sales double
- 2026-08-31Apple Allocates $60B to Texas Manufacturing as Tim Cook Steps Down for John Ternus
- 2026-09-21Texas Instruments Boosts Dividend 7% as Data Center Chip Demand Doubles
- 2026-09-21Texas Instruments Rallies 3.3% on 7% Dividend Hike and Doubling Data Center Revenue
- 2026-09-21Texas Instruments Rallies 3.3% on 7% Dividend Hike and Data Center Growth
Assumption changes
Full ledger →| Date | Assumption | Direction | Why | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Working capital | Bearish | Cash dividend reduces cash on hand. | 0.70 |
Event impact log
Full ledger →| Date | Mechanism | Direction | Horizon | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Texas Instruments Boosts Dividend 7% as Data Center Chip Demand Doubles | Bullish | 1-3m | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | Texas Instruments Rallies 3.3% on 7% Dividend Hike and Doubling Data Center Revenue | Bullish | 1-3m | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | Texas Instruments rises 3.3% after 7% dividend hike and doubling of data center revenue | Bullish | 1-3m | 0.90 |
| 2026-09-21 | Texas Instruments Rallies 3.3% on 7% Dividend Hike and Data Center Growth | Bullish | 1-3m | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | Texas Instruments Q2 revenue rises 23% YoY as data center sales double | Bullish | 1-3m | 0.90 |
| 2026-09-21 | Texas Instruments lifts dividend 7% as Q2 data center analog revenue doubles | Bullish | 1-3m | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | Texas Instruments Raises Dividend 7% as Data Center Revenue Doubles | Bullish | 1-3m | 0.80 |
| 2026-09-18 | Qualcomm guides QCT operating margins down to 23-25% on rising input costs | watch | 1-3m | 0.40 |
| 2026-09-17 | Texas Instruments increases dividend 7% to $1.52 per share | Bullish | 1-3m | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-09 | Analog Devices to Acquire Alif Semiconductor for $1.35 Billion | watch | 3-12m | 0.40 |
| 2026-09-03 | NXP outperformance noted; NXPI $228.50 and expected earnings figures cited | mixed | 1-3m | 0.30 |
| 2026-09-03 | NXP rises; Zacks flags strong expected earnings and discounted forward P/E | Bullish | 1-3m | 0.30 |