ASML Q3 Forecast Projects 96.4% EPS and 50.0% Revenue Growth Ahead of Oct 14
Resolved · earnings · Occurred · Assessed · 1 sources
This assessment is dated 2026-09-16. Check what remains unresolved below before relying on it.
Does the new outlook change what the company is worth?
Anticipated 49.99% revenue growth in extreme ultraviolet photolithography equipment tests tool absorption rates across leading-edge foundry capex cycles.
| Question | What the evidence establishes |
|---|---|
| What was reported? | Reported factASML gained 1.0% to close at $1,590.97 on September 15, 2026, outperforming broader market declines. |
| What else was confirmed? | Reported factThe equity has declined 16.35% over the trailing month heading into its October 14, 2026 third-quarter earnings release. |
| Does the valuation support acting? | Interpretation5 stored valuation assumptions for ASML; the latest is dated 2026-09-16. |
| What would change the assessment? | UnknownASML Q3 2026 Earnings Release — Third-quarter results on October 14, 2026 against 96.41% EPS and 49.99% revenue growth consensus |
What would this event cost your holdings?
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Test this event against my holdingsReported facts
- · ASML gained 1.0% to close at $1,590.97 on September 15, 2026, outperforming broader market declines.
- · The equity has declined 16.35% over the trailing month heading into its October 14, 2026 third-quarter earnings release.
- · Consensus analyst projections anticipate Q3 EPS growth of 96.41% year-over-year and revenue expansion of 49.99%.
Public research record
Research framework · page evidenceCompleted event assessment
semiconductor equipment order backlog realization lifting gross margins
| Type | Claim | Scope |
|---|---|---|
| Assumption | ASML gained 1.0% to close at $1,590.97 on September 15, 2026, outperforming broader market declines. | 2026-09-16 |
| Interpretation | semiconductor equipment order backlog realization lifting gross margins | ASML |
Countercase, invalidators, and sources
Tool delivery acceleration and high-NA EUV order conversion confirm the 96.41% EPS expansion target on October 14.
- · ASML Q3 2026 Earnings Release — Third-quarter results on October 14, 2026 against 96.41% EPS and 49.99% revenue growth consensus
- ASML (ASML) Gains As Market Dips: What You Should Know · 2026-09-15
What remains unresolved
- Base path
- ASML trades in an intraday range around $1,590 as market participants await concrete booking updates.
- Adverse path
- Push-outs in leading-edge foundry fab construction delay tool recognition into subsequent fiscal periods.
- Supportive path
- Tool delivery acceleration and high-NA EUV order conversion confirm the 96.41% EPS expansion target on October 14.
- · ASML Q3 2026 Earnings Release — Third-quarter results on October 14, 2026 against 96.41% EPS and 49.99% revenue growth consensusnext month
Evidence
- ASML (ASML) Gains As Market Dips: What You Should Know2026-09-15
“ASML rose 1% to $1,590.97 in the latest session, outperforming broader market indices. Despite a 16.35% decline over the past month, the semiconductor equipment supplier maintains a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) rating. Upcoming Q3 earnings on October 14, 2026 are projected to show 96.41% EPS growth and 49.99% revenue growth.”
Supports: ASML rose 1% to $1,590.97, has fallen 16.35% over past month, and Q3 earnings on October 14 project 96.41% EPS growth and 49.99% revenue growth.