Credit

Credit Spread

The yield premium over Treasuries that corporate bonds offer — compensation for default risk, downgrade risk, and illiquidity.

Definition

Credit spreads are quoted as option-adjusted spread (OAS) for cash bonds or as CDX index levels for derivatives. IG spreads (Bloomberg US Corporate OAS) and HY spreads (ICE BofA US HY OAS) are the standard benchmarks.

Spreads widen in risk-off and tighten in risk-on, often with leads or lags vs equity that institutional desks watch carefully.

Why it matters

Credit spreads price the real-economy risk that equity often ignores. They're the most reliable cross-asset stress gauge.

Worked example

March 2020: HY OAS widened from ~360bp to ~1,100bp in three weeks. The Fed's announcement of the SMCCF credit facility on March 23 capped the move and triggered a violent reversal.

Frequently asked

What's a normal IG spread?
Historically 100–150bp; under 100bp signals risk-on extremes, over 200bp signals stress.
What's a normal HY spread?
Historically 400–600bp; under 350bp is late-cycle euphoria, over 800bp is recession pricing.
Why do spreads lead equity?
Credit reprices default risk; equity reprices growth. Credit usually moves first because the buyer base is more rate- and default-focused.
How do you hedge credit?
Buy CDX protection, short HY ETFs, or own put options on credit-sensitive equities.

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